DFSGhost 
League of Legends (LoL) is back in full force with Worlds underway, and we have some great contests to go along with it. Beginning in the Play-In Stage, we have three matchups on tap for Day 2, with the PCS, LCL, LEC, TCL, LCS, and OPL all being represented on today’s slate. While the four major regions – the LPL, LCK, LCS, and LEC – will likely draw the majority of ownership throughout the tournament since it is familiar to the daily fantasy player, we did see PSG take down a -750 favorite in LGD; these matches are Best of 1, and anything can happen.
LoL Matchup #1: PSG Talon (-110) vs Unicorns of Love (-125)
The upsets didn’t take long to come to fruition when we saw PSG take down a heavy LPL favorite in LGD on the opening day of Worlds. Having picked up back to back wins to open their Worlds run, I expect PSG to be extremely popular tonight due to their combination of price and the field’s recency bias. However, UoL ran the table to a clean 14-0 sweep in the summer split and went 2-0 in playoffs en route to a championship in the LCL. Being a weaker region than the PCS, UoL’s run this split cannot be all there needs to be said about this matchup, as they are slightly overpriced for their ceilings here – PSG has the advantage in major statistical categories, and having shown out on Day 1 with 43 kills in two games, combined with facing tougher competition in the best of the “minor” regions, I’ll take the slight favorite here; with the exception of top laner Hanabi, PSG’s players were all over 72% kill participation (KP%), making them an attractive four-man stack.
LoL Matchup #2: MAD Lions (-275) vs Papara SuperMassive (+200)
After a loss filled with detrimental mental lapses, MAD Lions will look to rebound versus SM on Day 2, in what will be their opponent’s 2020 Worlds debut. Despite SM having the better first turret percentage, rift herald percentage, and a strong early game, I’m expecting MAD to have a big bounce back here; they grade out better in vision statistics, have the better first blood percentage, and come from a much stronger region. Having (hopefully) put their sloppy behind them on Day 1, MAD needs to make sure to avoid the same mistakes they made yesterday to TL, but I have faith that they’ll get the jump on SM. Being as cheap as they are in addition to being a live ‘dog in this one, I’ll take some shots on SM as well, but they’ll need MAD to make mistakes early and often to come out of this one, but this is LoL, and you never know what can happen, especially on a Worlds stage, and if they can take advantage of MAD in the early game, there may be another shocker on Day 2.
LoL Matchup #3: Legacy eSports (+333) vs Team Liquid (-500)
While the LCS is often the victim of being a punching bag in the LoL community, TL finished with a region best 15-3 record and managed to start off their Worlds run with a victory over MAD Lions yesterday. On the flipside, Legacy pulled off a light upset of their own, coming out victorious in their opening match versus INTZ. While I fully expect TL to come out with the win in this one behind their lane advantages and objective control, it lacks the appeal from a DFS perspective since TL plays really slow – I mean, really, really slow. While they did have 22 kills versus MAD yesterday, that was more of a shot against MAD’s frequency of mistakes rather than TL’s aggressivity. They’re fine in cash games being a heavy favorite and the likeliest of the bunch to secure a win, but in a Best of 1, we can’t afford to have teams winning matches with few kills for our GPP exposure, and I think this may be the case with TL here today.
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