LoL Matchup 1: Rogue Warriors (+125) vs. LGD Gaming (-175)
On tap in the first of three games on the last regular season LoL slate of the spring split, RW faces off against LGD. This game has no playoff implications but has plenty of fantasy appeal. RW ranks second last in the LPL in deaths per game at a rate of 16.57/game where only V5 averages more. However, their offensive play is also a main reason why, sitting 9th in the league with 13.65 kills per game; RW plays aggressively and sometimes it gets them into trouble. Coming in as the favorite, LGD’s defensive ability is no better than that of RW, as they also allow a high amount of deaths per game at a rate of 15.37/game with a worse offense, ranking 11th with 13.11 kills/game. My lean here is to hedge this game 50/50 with a slight advantage toward the RW side if you’re making fewer lineups. If RW manages to end the LPL LoL spring split with a win, it will likely be in 3 games and on the backs of Haro (JNG) and ZWuJi (ADC). Haro is 3rd in the entire LPL in kill participation rate (77.3%) with ZWuJi not that far behind (73.9%).
LoL Matchup 2: Team WE (+100) vs. OMG (-138)
The most important game on the LoL slate tonight, WE and OMG are facing off against each other with the winner claiming the final spot in the LPL playoffs. Coming off a strong 2-1 series win against EDG yesterday, I am again favoring the underdog in this matchup for a few reasons. First, OMG is second-last in kills per game with 10.54/game with only V5 averaging less. WE, a team that plays aggressively and looks to end games early with the sixth-highest number of kills per game with 13.97/game, will take advantage. Second, no matter what the sport may be, momentum matters. WE needed to win their last two series to get into the playoffs and with yesterday’s win, they’ll look to close it out tonight. OMG has not played in five days and have not won a series in the past 11 days, getting swept three times in a row by EDG, ES, and LGD respectively. When OMG wins, they offer little to no upside for DFS and I am FULL FADING the favorite in this one. My top targets on WE would be Jiumeng (ADC) and Missing (SUP) to get a full bottom lane stack. Teacherma (MID) and Beishang (JNG) are also worth considering when running a 4-man stack, with Morgan (TOP) being at the lowest on the priority list.
LoL Matchup 3: FunPlus Phoenix (-250) vs Top eSports (+175)
The last game of the LPL regular season and of this LoL slate, FPX comes in to face TES with the former looking to lock down second place with a series win of any kind, and the latter looking to jump into 4th place with a series sweep. This game will solely depend on two of the best mid laners in the entire LPL in Doinb (FPX) and Knight (TES), along with the battle of the ADCs in LWX (FPX) and phenom JackeyLove (TES). These two teams rank 3rd and 4th in the LPL in kills/game, but it is TES that dies 3 more times than FPX per game. With FPX playing more aggressively as of late, I side with the favorite in this one in what should be a great series. Doinb (MID) and LWX (ADC) are two elite targets on the entire slate, along with Crisp (SUP) for correlation with your ADC play and Tian (JNG) who should take advantage of Karsa all series long.
Favorite LoL DK Captains:
LWX (FPX) – ADC – $11,400
Doinb (FPX) – MID – $11,400
Jiumeng (WE) – ADC – $10,800
ZwuJi (RW) – ADC – $10,500
JackeyLove (TES) – ADC – $10,200
Favorite LoL FD Captains:
LWX (FPX) – ADC – $10,200
Jiumeng (WE) – ADC – $9,200
ZWuJi (RW) – ADC – $9,400
JackeyLove (TES) – ADC – $9,700
Key Notes
The only game I will not be hedging on this LoL slate is the second game: WE vs OMG. I am all in on WE, not only because I think they win outright, but because OMG has little to no DFS upside in LoL GPPs. In the first game, I will likely be split down the middle at 50% RW and 50% LGD but may make a line or two more with RW stacks should I have the wiggle room in my lineup construction. In the third game, I will have 75% FPX and 25% TES; with Yuyanjia (SUP) starting for TES, I expect LWX (ADC) and Crisp (SUP) to dominate the bottom lane and for Doinb (MID) to do his thing versus Knight. It will be a close series, but I side with FPX 2-1 here. Lastly, you’ll see that I have only ADC captains tonight, with the exception of Doinb on DK. On FD, 7 of the last 8 slates have had takedowns with an ADC at captain, with the exception being one Support captain takedown where 3 favorites won on the same night. With all ADCs being underpriced with the exception of LWX and JackeyLove, double ADC lines on FD should be no problem, whether you choose to pair one of the two with Kramer (LGD), ZwuJi (RW) or Jiumeng (WE). On DK, WE are too cheap not to take advantage. On DK, remember to stick to 4-3, 4-2-1, or 3-3-1 lineups, with 4-3 being my favorite. On FD, where they force you play a third team, 4-2-1 and 3-3-1 stacks are the only two options for me, with the former being my personal favorite.
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