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JT’s Early Look for UFC Vegas 17

UFC FIGHT NIGHT.

Thompson vs. Neal.

Can’t wait for UFC this Saturday? Don’t worry; We have you covered at WinDaily with an early look at some of my top plays for this weekend’s insane 14 fights. I will give you a breakdown of three fights that caught my attention as soon as I looked at the fight card. UFC Vegas 17, Thompson vs. Neal is going to be one for the ages!

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UFC DFS Pick One:

Jimmy Flick -150 (DK 8700) (FD $17) vs. Cody Durden +120 (DK 7500) (FD $12).

This is the second attempt at this fight that was initially supposed to happen two weeks ago, and I have been feeling the same way about it as I did then. Durden is 3-1-1 in his last five fights and is going to come in with more ownership than I am comfortable with as an underdog. He’s facing off against a fighter that will give him hell on the mat.

Jimmy Flick is 4-1 in his last five fights, and even though he does not have the best striking defense, I believe that he will push through that and force Durden to the mat. The second that Durden is on the mat with Flick, it puts Cody in an awkward situation. The ground is where Flick thrives, and I still believe he will completely take over there. In my opinion, Flick should wrap him up and end him in the first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Jimmy Flick -150 (DK 8700) (FD $17). FIRST-ROUND SUBMISSION.

UFC DFS Pick Two:

Tafon Nchukwi -305 (DK 9400) (FD $23) vs. Jamie Pickett +245 (DK 6800) (FD $9).

Here is a fight with a fighter who has never been knocked out (Pickett) against a fighter with heavy hands (Nchukwi). With Pickett being more experienced, Nchukwi is in for a test, but not a test of his ability to perform. It is a test of how fast he can knock him out.

Nchukwi is a heavy favorite, and for a good reason. He has four wins and one loss in his last five fights. Tafon has legitimate takedown defense. Even though he has a low output in his hands when he lands, he lands extremely hard. I believe there is a first time for everything, and Pickett will take the first knockout loss of his career in the very first round.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Tafon Nchukwi -305 (DK 9400) (FD $23). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

UFC DFS Pick Three:

Deron Winn +130 (DK 7300) (FD $12) vs. Antonio Arroyo -160 (DK 8900) (FD $16).

Winn vs. Arroyo was the fight that I immediately fell in love with. Winn does not have confidence in his Jui-Jitsu, has not looked good in his previous fights, and is severely undersized. Arroyo is nine inches taller and has a reach advantage of three and a half inches. Antonio is an excellent striker, has phenomenal kicks, and has a solid ground game. Arroyo has won 88 percent of his fights by finish, and I feel that it will happen here as well with an early first-round knockout.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Antonio Arroyo -160 (DK 8900) (FD $16). FIRST-ROUND TKO.

SUMMARY:

It is still early, and a lot of things can change significantly in the UFC. There are currently 14 fights scheduled for Saturday, and I am hoping that they all stay intact, but it can most definitely change, as we have seen with recent fight cards.

I will use my core fighters (Value, Locked-In, Top Scoring, Honorable Mention) from my Friday article to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat or you can find me on Twitter @JThomsonDFS. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

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