Jacob’s Above Average Plays has one NBA play tonight but has two early morning English Premier League plays that are sure to bubble that bankroll!
Take Memphis Grizzlies -8.5 versus Cleveland Cavaliers (8:00 pm EST, Friday 17 January 2020)
This game features a team having a tumultuous season going on the road to take on arguably the hottest team in the NBA. These two teams are on the opposite ends of the offensive spectrum, and I think it is really going to come through in this game. The Grizzlies have been playing great basketball the last month, and I can see this game getting out of hand.
The Cavaliers come into this game loser of eight of the last twelve road games and have won just two of their last nine games overall. Their offense ranks towards the bottom of the league in scoring (27th), offensive rebounds (20th), and three-point percentage (24th). The fact that they only score an average of 103.43 ppg is bad news when facing the seventh-best scoring team at home in the NBA. The Cleveland defense isn’t going to be able to slow down the above-average offense that Memphis has found in the last ten games. Memphis has scored over 119 points in the last seven games including putting up: 121 points on Houston, 134 points on San Antonio, and 140 points on the Clippers. The Cavs have only scored more than 115 points three times this year. They scored 117 points twice against the Bulls and San Antonio, and 121 points against Atlanta – some of the worst defensive teams in the league. I just do not see how Cleveland keeps up offensively in this game.
Memphis has won eight out of their last ten games, including five in a row at home. They have not played well against the Cavs in recent memory, but that was a different Cavs team. I think Memphis has revenge on their minds. Take Memphis to make it seven wins in a row when they blow out the Cavs tonight. Memphis -8.5.
Take Watford Hornets +138 (draw no bet) versus Tottenham Hotspur (7:30 am EST, Saturday 18 January 2020)
Watford is catching Tottenham at the perfect time. Tottenham has had some serious injury issues, and they are playing on the road where they have been awful all year. Watford has been taking down big names all year, and they are looking to add another to the list.
The Spurs have only won three road games out of the last fourteen played since August. They will be missing stand-in captain, Henry Kane, with a ruptured thigh muscle, and above-average midfielder, Moussa Sissoko, after he had knee surgery on Tuesday. These are key parts to their offense, and Tottenham has lost four of the last five Premier League matches with them on the team. Not having them onboard leads me to believe they will be severely short-handed. I don’t think they can keep up with the Watford offense, who has scored two or more goals in five of their last six matches.
Watford has beaten a lot of above-average teams this year. Watford’s most recent win came in the form of a 3-0 shut out of Bournemouth. They have also taken down Wolverhampton, Man U, and had a 1-1 draw against Southampton. Watford is undefeated in their last six matches. However, Tottenham will always carry a threat, which is why I’m taking the draw no bet. I would suggest putting 25% of your beat on the 3way Moneyline +225 to grab a little extra when Watford wins this outright. Take Watford +125 Draw No Bet.
(If this game ends in a draw we have a no bet.)
Parlay
Take Yes both teams to score and Man City to win versus Crystal Palace +170( 10 am EST, Saturday 18 January 2020)
Man City is by far one of the best teams in the Premier League. I understand they sit 14 points behind Liverpool, but there is nothing they can do about that except to play their game. MCI has won nine of the last ten games. They dominate teams – including Crystal Palace, as they have beaten them seven times in the last ten games. They have beat teams by more than two goals seven times in the last ten games. Winning isn’t the issue, the more important question is if Crystal Palace can score. I think Crystal Palace scores since Man City have only shut out two teams in the last ten games. When MCI gets a big lead, the defense slacks off – Crystal Palace is good enough to get one goal. I like this parlay a lot, and it has a great payout considering MCI is a 2.5 goal favorite.
(Man City must win this game in full time and both teams must score at least one goal for this to win. Odds provided by DraftKings.)