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Isaiah’s Protocol picks for the NBA DFS slate on 1/3

Isaiah’s Protocol picks for the NBA DFS slate are built around DraftKings pricing, but are good across the industry with some slight adjustments to salaries on the various sites.

We have a nice 6 game NBA DFS slate to look at tonight. I want to mention a trend I’ve been noticing lately. I’m finding that a lot of the high priced studs are scoring around 50 DKFPTS lately. Some of this is due to blowouts, injury, load management, or just sharing the court. Many of them have higher ceilings. I’m finding it easier to fade most of them and increase my salary averages. I like to concentrate on getting 40+ DKFPTS out of more of the mid to higher tier guys. This process isn’t set it stone, but I find it an easier way to start to narrow down my player pool on NBA DFS slates.

Kemba Walker has already been ruled out. I’ll touch on some thoughts there as we go.

THE CORE

Devin Booker ($7900) Devin has been killing it lately. He’s scored more than 44 DKFPTS in his last 4 games. He has a 29.5% usage rate and scores 1.14 FP/min. The Knicks rank 26th in DvsA, and 28th in DEFF. He’s too cheap for his projected 41 DKFPTS tonight.

John Randle ($7700) Randle has been on fire recently. He has had more than 47 DKFPTS in his last 4, maxing out at 61 in his last game of 2019. Randle has a 26.8% usage rate and scores 1.12 FP/min. Phoenix ranks 28th in DEFF.

Deandre Ayton ($7300) Deandre is a virtual lock for 40+ DKFPTS, and a double-double every time he gets on the court. He seems to have put his suspension and bothersome ankle injury behind him. Ayton has a 23.4% usage rate and scores 1.29 FP/min. I don’t think the Knicks are very good against opposing centers, and I can picture a game script here where Ayton approaches 50 DKPTS.

Gordon Hayward ($7000) Gordon has a 21.6% usage rate and scores 1.09 FP/min. More important is Atlanta’s 30th ranked DEFF, and 27th DvsA against shooting wings. I think a lot of people will be looking at Tatum and Brown on this NBA DFS slate. Gordons assist rate gets a 6.6% boost without Kemba, and he already shoots 53.4% on the season. The matchup, the stats, the injury, and the salary all project Hayward to go north of 40 DFFPTS tonight at $7000.

Others: Brandon Ingram, Jaylen Brown, Jrue Holiday, Kelly Oubre.

VALUE

Marcus Smart ($5100) Don’t get cute here, grab a fork and prepare to eat the chalk on this NBA DFS slate. Smart entered the starting lineup when Brown was sick, and I fully expect him to start tonight. Atlanta ranks 27th in DEFF and 23rd in DvsA. Marcus is projected to play 32 minutes, and go over 30 DKFPTS tonight. That’s right around 6X value.

Terrance Ross ($4000) With Aaron Gordon still nursing an Achilles issue, and the masses chasing DJ Augustin’s phenomenal game last time out, Ross is still being overlooked and priced too cheap. Miami is a solid D, so the matchup isn’t a great one. Roster at your own risk, but this guy has the ability and minutes to break the NBA DFS slate on any given night.

Frank Ntilikina ($3200) There’s an obvious risk with taking the 8th overall pick in the 2017 draft. Frank just locked down Dame on Wednesday en route to 34.25 DKFPTS. Elfrid Payton is listed a questionable due to a personal matter and doesn’t look like he’s going to play. Rubio also tweaked his hip on Wednesday, although he’s listed as probable. I know it’s not a great play, but if he runs 25+ minutes, he could be a steal at $3200.

Breaking news will be extremely important tonight as we will need some value to open up so that we can look at some higher-priced stars to squeeze into our lineups, I highly encourage all readers to join myself, and the rest of the WinDaily team in the Discord chat rooms as we break down and discuss our favorite plays of the NBA DFS slate. Thank you for reading my content and feel free to leave a comment, or hit me up on Twitter @IsaiahsProtocol.

GOODLUCK AND HAVE FUN

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