The PGA Tour heads to Dublin, Ohio for the Workday Charity Open. This event will be replacing the (canceled) John Deere Classic for this year only and will take place at the Jack Nicklaus designed Muirfield Village. The Tour will also be playing this same course next week for The Memorial Tournament. I’ll get into more of that shortly. Let’s take a look.
TheCourse
MuirfieldVillage
Par: 72
Yardage:7456
Greens:Bentgrass
FavorableStatistics (in order of importance)
StrokesGained: Approach
StrokesGained: Off The Tee
StrokesGained: Around The Greens
StrokesGained: Putting
Basically speaking we want to find golfers that can nail their shot approaching the greens. Great ball strikers, that are accurate off the tee and can provide some distance, is also a plus. Unlike the previous tournaments we’ve seen since the Covid break, we want to keep our eye on guys that can get up and down well (SG:ARG). These small greens are protected heavily by deep bunkers, among other challenges.
Strategy
Iwanted to mention some things that are at the top of my head whileI’m writing this article. Its important to realize some differencesbetween this weeks tournament and next weeks. This week is an “Open”,meaning it is a MUCH bigger field and has a much wider spectrum oftalent. Next weeks tournament is an “Invitational”, meaninggolfers are selected by invite only (for the most part) and will be amuchsmaller field of elite talent.
There are two specific reason I wanted to mention this. This weeks Workday Charity Open will consist of roughly 150+ entrants. For DFS purposes, I’m going to assume that the DraftKings “Milly Maker” will resemble the last two weeks where under 5% of the entrants were able to get 6 of 6 golfers through the cut line on Friday afternoon.
Looking at DraftKings salaries, I’ve noticed that we have six golfers in the $10,000+ range. Other than Patrick Cantlay, Each one of them have some questionable concerns moving into this weeks tournament. On the flip side, there are a lot of golfers in the sub $7K range. Honestly, this range doesn’t look as appealing to me as the previous two weeks have.
Whetherwe’re talking about cash games, or GPP’s (Guaranteed Prize Pool),The core to my strategy is going to be getting six golfers throughthe cut Friday afternoon. After that, let them play it out and letthe cards fall where they may. Withan $8333 dollar average for your lineup construction, I don’t seeany reason that a balanced approach won’t lead to some riches thisweek, as it did in the first two tournaments coming out of the break.
Ofcourse we may want to reach out and grab some of the higher pricedgolfers in our GPP lineup construction. This will force us to seekout some of the needles in the haystack that is the lower pricedrange. Nothing is set in stone here. It’s just a strategy that Ilike to keep in mind while I’m developing my lineups. Lets take alook at some plays.
CashGame Golfers
Throw ownership out the window for The Workday Charity Open. Find 6 golfers that make the cut. They do NOT need to win, but each of them should produce just enough to get you over the 50% line of the rest of the entrants in your contest. That’s all you need to make some money here.
Collin Morikawa ($9200) Kawa finally missed his first cut as a professional this season at The Travelers, towards the end of June. So now we know he’s human. He also possesses on of the strongest iron games in the world. Over the last 50 rounds he ranks 2nd in SG:APP, 3rd in SG:BS, and 5th in SG:T2G. 13 of 14 cuts made.
Marc Leishman ($8700) Leishman has made the cut in 10 of his 11 visits to Muirfield Village, and has 2 top 5 finishes in his last 5. In 4 of those 5 he’s ranked inside the top 20 in SG:T2G.
Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8000) Another guy that just missed his first cut of the season at The Travelers. Again, in a 50 round sample, he ranks 20th in SG:TOT, 23rd in SG:T2G, and 30th in both SG:APP and SG:BS. 10 of 11 cuts made.
GPPGOLFERS
Ownership becomes a key factor in The Workday Charity Open. The larger your field of contestants is, the less ownership you’re going to need to be different from your competition. Be careful not to sacrifice production for name recognition while searching for a gem to get you into the top 20% of your contest for a chance at some serious money. You’re going to have to risk a little more here to be rewarded.
Brooks Koepka ($10400) Seemingly forgot about during his struggles post break, Brooks is currently projected to be a little over 10% owned. Looking at that larger sample, Brooks ranks 13th SG:OTT, 18th SG:T2G, 24th SG:BS, and 11th SG:TOT. His nemesis has been the flat stick where he’s quietly gained strokes in each of his last 8 rounds.
Rickie Fowler ($9000) Currently sitting just under 12%, Rickie had switched to a cross handed grip on his putter post break after listening to Jordan Speith. Why, I don’t know. He went back to his old grip last week at The Rocket Mortgage and the results were evident in comparison. Rickie also loves this course finishing T2, T8, and T14 since 2017. In DFS golf you always gotta catch the boat before it sails. This just may be Rickie’s week to return to the leader board after flashing some of his vintage skill in Detroit last week.
Scottie Scheffler ($7800) We were all burned by a chalky Scheff losing a career worst 6 strokes SG:APP on Thursday in Detroit. He came out Friday and ranked 1st SG:OTT, and 3rd SG:T2G, but the damage was already done. How soon we forget. I’m gonna chalk this up as one bad day, and go right back to a super cheap, 7% owned Scottie Scheffler this week.
Feel free to mix and match, and choose your spots wisely. Its our goal at WinDaily to teach EVERYONE a formula to playing DFS so that we ALL succeed. The BEST overall strategy I can give you would be to join our family in the Discord chat rooms as we discuss, and break down our favorite plays even further.