Isaiah’s Protocol for the NBA DFS slate is built around DraftKings pricing but is good across the industry with some slight adjustments to salaries on the various sites.
We have an interesting 6 game NBA DFS slate to look at tonight. The Wizards travel to Atlanta and represent two of the fastest-paced teams in the NBA with two of the worst defenses. Both teams have close to a 120 point implied team total (ITT). Vegas has set the Over/Under at 240, with Atlanta being a 1 point favorite. Another target game involves the Suns going to Memphis to take on a hot Grizzlies team. Oddsmakers have set this game to score 236 points with Memphis as 2.5 point favorites. There is no shortage of injury-related news tonight on either with both Boston and Portland banged up and carrying questionable tags on some key players. I advise all my readers to join the staff at WinDaily in our Discord chat rooms as we discuss important news as it unfolds on this NBA DFS slate.
THE STUDS
Kawhi Leonard ($10200) The Clippers are in Orlando tonight facing a decent Magic defense. The Magic rank 5th in defensive efficiency (DEFF) and 5th in (DvsA) which is a rank given to the opponent when facing this player’s archetype. Leonard has been carrying this offense over the last couple weeks with Paul George (hamstring) out. Kawhi carries a 35.3% usage rate and scores 1.51 fantasy points (FP) per minute. He has scored over 65 DraftKings fantasy points (DKFPTS) in 3 straight games and dropped 50 on Orlando last time. Kawhi has an ugly match up in a slow-paced game. I expect his ownership to be suppressed, making him one of my favorite targets on this NBA DFS slate.
Trae Young ($9500) Trae enters the night with a 36.7% usage rate, scoring 1.43 FP/min. Washington ranks 28th in DEFF. Young has a great matchup tonight and gets us some much needed salary relief from Kawhi. I expect him to be very high owned (chalky) making him a great player to target for cash games.
THE CORE
There is a lot to like on this NBA DFS slate for the core tonight, so I’m going to look at a few for some salary relief and list the others afterward.
John Randle ($7600) Randle has a 27.2% usage rate and scores 1.14 FP/min. I want to target this short-handed Nets frontcourt on a B2B, and Randle looks to be slightly underpriced tonight. He just dropped 45 DKFPTS on a stout Toronto defense last time out. If we get similar production from him tonight, that gives us 6X value at this salary.
Deandre Ayton ($7500) Ayton looks to be a nice fit for the center position tonight as there are a lot of valuable guards I am trying to squeeze on to my roster. He carries a 21.9% usage rate and scores 1.19 FP/min. Memphis ranks 17th in DEFF and 21st in DvsA. Ayton has been averaging close to 36 mins. a game with Aron Baynes (hip) on the shelf, and had 41 DKFPTS against the Grizzlies last time around. Ayton’s multi-positional eligibility makes him one of my favorite plays on this NBA DFS slate.
Others to consider Domantas Sabonis ($8700), Bradley Beal ($8200), Devin Booker ($8100), John Collins ($8000), Kelly Oubre Jr. ($6300). Keep an eye on the Celtic status as Jaylen Brown and Jason Tatum are both questionable. Kemba Walker and Gordon Hayward have nice price tags if these guys don’t play.
VALUE
Dillon Brooks ($5500) Dillon has made this list a lot recently as he continues to have a salary that’s too cheap in my opinion. Brooks carries an admirable 24.2% usage rate and scores right around an FP/min. Jae Crowder (knee) is doubtful tonight creating a nice boost in stats for Brooks. Phoenix ranks 20th in DEFF and 21st in DvsA. Dillon’s 33 point projection has him at 6X value at this salary. He also becomes an important piece in roster construction on this NBA DFS slate as an under-owned pivot off of my next player.
Elfrid Payton ($5500) Payton dropped 39 DKFPTS double-double on Toronto last time out, in 35 minutes. There’s still a question about what the Nets lineup will look like after an OT win last night but regardless, I want to target their 28th ranked DvsA.
Others to consider: Josh Hart ($3900), Reggie Bullock ($3900), Landry Shamet ($3800), Nicolas Claxton ($3700), Doug McDermott ($3600), Damyean Dotson ($3400).
There’s a lot to think about today so I highly encourage all readers to join myself, and the rest of the WinDaily team in the Discord chat rooms as we break down and discuss our favorite plays of the NBA DFS slate. Thank you for reading my content and feel free to leave a comment, or hit me up on Twitter @IsaiahsProtocol.
GOODLUCK AND HAVE FUN