Sia 
The PGA Tour is back in full flight as we arrive at the Farmers Insurance Open. This is another tournament that features two courses (which I find really annoying) and the courses aren’t particularly similar as they are both a Par 72 but the South course is 400-500 yards longer than the North Course. Three of the rounds are being played on the South Course so that is where my focus will be from an analysis standpoint. Bombers are welcome here and driving accuracy will certainly help. Around the Green game is also important. And finally, this is a tough place to putt so I will be putting a slightly higher emphasis than normal in that department. In case it’s not obvious, I’m looking for guys with good to great all around games. Let’s get started with our Farmers Insurance Open: Initial Picks!
Rory McIlroy (11000) – His track record here is excellent and he appears to be in pretty good form. I’m usually finding excuses to fade Rory, but in this field I like him as my top guy (Rahm is great but I’ll explain why I prefer Rory on our PGA Livestream).
Harris English (9800) – Harris English doesn’t feel like a guy that can take this thing down, but he’s got a shot. He’s got a rare combo of good ball striking and good short game and that’s the type of box checking I’m interested in this week.
Cam Smith (8500) – A guy who doesn’t necessarily grade out very well, but who can really grind on tougher courses. I think this will be a welcome test for Cam after the resort style Sentry and Sony where he didn’t play very well.
Ryan Palmer (8400) – Likely to be a popular player because the price is just too good. He’s been striking the ball very well and he’s played very well at this course. Let’s see how chalky this guy becomes, but either way, I may be eating this chalk.
Cam Davis (7900) – Can drive it a long way and not terrible with the short game. He’s also coming off a 3rd place at the American Express so I’ll have a few shares and ride the hot hand with upside.
Sam Burns (7700) – I was one of the few that did not tout Burns last week and that was mostly because he should never be chalk and wasn’t as good a course fit as people thought. I think the Farmers is much better suited for Burns and I like how he closed last week with a very good Friday score (after a deplorable round on Thursday).
Carlos Ortiz (7500) – More of a hunch play as his track record here is quite bad. But recent form has been good and I think he has upside (3 Top 15 finishes in his last 4 including an outright win). This is a boom or bust play so tread carefully
Doug Ghim (7200) – Ball striking has been great and outside of an MC at the Sony he has been very consistent and offering plenty of upside (5th last week at AmEx). His only two attempts at the Farmers were a MC and a 20th place finish and when you get to this range I think that’s about what you should be expecting, one or the other.
John Huh (7000) – Three Top 25’s in his last three tournaments and hasn’t missed a cut here in his last five attempts. This is the type of guy you want at the bottom end of your lineup.
Luke List (6800) – Has been bad for a little while now but starting to come on strong and capture some of what we thought he was a couple years ago. Luke List can hit the ball a mile and APP and ARG aren’t too bad. What concerns me is a really bad putter, but you’re rolling the dice in this range regardless, so I’ll have a share or two of List.
Richie Werenski (6700) – Led the field in driving accuracy last week and was hitting it about 300 yards which isn’t bad. Werenski, one of the first Secret Weapons ever, is probably entering the mispriced conversation and that means he’s a solid value play in this range.
Secret Weapon (less than 5% owned/less than 7k) – Nice little run I’m on here (27-2). Regression coming? Who knows. What I do know is this week’s SW will be in Discord Wednesday night.
Thanks for checking out our Farmers Insurance Open: Initial Picks! See everyone tonight at 8:00 EST for The Win Daily Sports PGA Livestream with Michael Rasile and Joel Schrek. We will have the full DFS breakdown plus outrights (hit last week with Si Woo Kim at 70 to 1)! Be on the lookout for other articles coming from the Win Daily Sports Family, too!
