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This week the PGA Tour gets an early Wednesday start in San Diego and so I figured I’d get the Initial Picks article out as soon as possible. Pricing for The Farmers Insurance Open is NOT out yet so this article won’t feature that, but it will feature the golfers I have my eyes on as we prepare our lineups. We have two courses (North and South) this week but the South course will be played 3 of 4 days. The South course is by far the more challenging of the two courses and is a 7700 yard Par 72. The South course will test all of ones game including distance, both OTT and with the irons. The short game will certainly come into play here as well, so I’ll definitely be looking for guys that are at least decent in each of the primary metrics. The North course is far easier (and far shorter) and should create some great scoring opportunities.
Be sure to catch our PGA Livestream Tuesday night as we will have an interesting setup for pinpointing golfers and we will have a special guest @ModelManiac.
Jon Rahm – A great course fit everywhere, but especially here. He’s got the ball striking and the length with the driver and the irons to set himself up nicely for plenty of birdie opportunities. Course history is great here as well.
Hideki Matsuyama – When he’s got the putter going he’s usually contending on Sunday. I’m guessing he carries some lower ownership this week with all the talent around him. His history here is pretty solid and he’s obviously coming off an elite takedown at the Sony.
Sungjae Im – No one would ever accuse me of being a ‘Sungjae guy’ as I rarely roster him, but I can’t deny that he should fit nicely here. Put simply, there’s nothing he’s bad at and he excels at plenty including OTT, BOB, BS, SG Par 5 and Prox 200+.
Daniel Berger – if you’re looking for accuracy, here is your guy. He’s also great with the long iron game. Putter can sometimes hold him back, but I like Berger in this spot unless he ends up being highly owned.
Sam Burns – When you’re hot your hot and this guy is one of the hottest guys on tour. If I were to pick an issue with Burns it would be that his long iron play isn’t elite, but he really does check every other box.
Marc Leishman – An outstanding history at The Farmers which includes a win in 2020. Leishman is playing good golf and is very clearly comfortable at this venue.
Maverick McNealy – His recent form has been good and his course history here is MC, 15th and 29th. Mav doesn’t do anything in particular at an elite level, but he’s a relatively good ball striker, is solid with the long irons and can score on Par 5s.
Aaron Wise – I am, in fact, a WiseGuy and I like that I may be getting a player on the rise who has been relatively absent since the swing season. Wise is a guy who can flat out score and while he certainly carries some volatility, he’s got the type of upside I’m looking for.
Ryan Palmer – Well apparently Palmer likes the Farmers as his last four finishes have been 2nd, 21st, 13th and 2nd. Pretty impressive stretch from a guy who hasn’t been in many Draftkings lineups lately. Recent history for Palmer hasn’t been great, however it’s started to pick up lately.
Tom Hoge – He’s in good form and has a good history at the Farmers which includes a 12th and a 5th place finish (he also has 2 MC’s). An up and down player who can certainly get hot with the ball striking.
Joel Dahmen – The ball striking has been very good lately, but the short game has been getting him in trouble. He does have the ability to pop in the short game department so I’m hoping for some positive regression there. History isn’t too bad at this venue, but certainly has MC equity.
Secret Weapon – Now 47-14 after C.T. Pan’s missed cut.
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