Adam Zibuda What is up everyone, happy Wednesday! Check out the FanDuel MLB 6/9 breakdown below.
As usual, I will be going over 3 pitchers and 3 teams that we should be looking to stack in our FanDuel lineups. We have a few weather concerns with the games in both Philly and Baltimore, but we are clear outside of those two. There are a few early games, but the main slate locks at 7:05 and has 12 games, so even if we cross out the games with weather concerns we still have 10 to work with. With that said, let’s get into the picks!
The Aces
A. We kick things off with an interesting scenario where we have the clear ace of the slate, however he is very expensive and also does not exactly draw a cakewalk of a matchup. Gerrit Cole ($11,500) is clearly the most skilled pitcher on the main slate here, but the question is do we want to pay way up for him in a matchup against the Twins. The Twins are not a scary enough offense to take me off of Cole, and frankly I am not sure such an offense exists, so I will be looking to mix in some cheap bats in my stacks and one-offs in order to afford the highest strikeout upside arm on the night Wednesday.
B. My SP2 tonight on FanDuel is the pitcher that I feel the least confident about, so I am likely to either pay up or pay down in nearly every lineup that I make. With that full transparency out of the way, my SP2 for tonight is Nathan Eovaldi ($8,000). While that was far from a ringing endorsement, Eovaldi actually is one of our top three options if we cross out the two games with weather issues. The Astros put the smackdown on Martin Perez last night, which should come as a surprise to absolutely nobody. They are not typically an offense that I look to target with opposing pitchers, but Eovaldi has a reasonable price tag, and nearly every one of his pitching metrics is either average or slightly above average. That is the best that I can do here so I suggest you refer to either A or C.
C. Looking to save money at pitcher tonight? Look no further than Shane McClanahan ($6,600). Shane is an awesome play on FanDuel, as his DraftKings price is a much more accurate $8,200. He will be throwing against a Washington Nationals offense that has not looked great over the last week, and their win/loss record is really starting to get ugly. This is a team that I will be looking to fade in the sports betting markets, and target pitchers against in the DFS markets, for the rest of the season. Shane owns a 3.23 SIERA, 30.4% strikeout rate (the exact same as Yu Darvish), and a 7.2% walk rate. These are numbers that you rarely see at this salary level, so this is a no-brainer play for GPPs, and even cash games as well.
The Bases
A. The first team that jumps out to me for stacking on FanDuel Wednesday night is the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers have not been an offense that has been tearing the cover off the ball by any means this season, but they draw the worst pitcher on the entire day tonight. Vladimir Gutierrez owns an extremely high 5.85 SIERA, extremely low 15% strikeout rate, and a walk rate that is almost as high as his strikeout rate. This guy is just not a very good pitcher at all, although he has been able to somehow limit hard contact which has kept his ERA artificially low. My hope is that the masses see his 2.70 ERA and avoid this offense that has let many down all season, because I will be loading up.
B. The second team that I will be looking to get exposure to on FanDuel tonight is the LA Angels, who will be taking swings against Tyler Anderson and the Pirates bullpen. I love when we get the combination of an awful starting pitcher who is backed up by an even worse bullpen, and that is what we have here for the Angels tonight. The Pirates bullpen is one of the worst in the majors, and this team in general has just not been competitive for many years at this point. Similar to the Nationals, I will be fading them early and often from here on out and I expect the Angels to produce runs in bunches on Wednesday night.
C. I stacked the NY Mets last night and while Pete Alonso held up his end of the deal, the rest of their team was total garbage. However, as everyone knows by now, we have to have a short memory in DFS and not allow recency bias to impact our decision making. I mean, I would not be caught dead fading the Mets drawing a Matt Harvey revenge narrative game. There is a reason that Harvey is priced at $5,500 on FanDuel, and it is not because he is a competent thrower of the baseballs. Harvey sports a 7.53 ERA, 4.69 SIERA, 17.9% strikeout rate, and a 7.2% walk rate. I expect the Pete Alonso homerun train to keep rolling tonight, but this time I think he has some help from his fellow bats as well.
That is it for me today! Please also check out our projection model by clicking here. If you have any questions, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to lock, so feel free to shoot me a DM or @ me in chat!
