Adam Zibuda What is up everyone! My name is Adam and I go by A Through Z around the DFS industry. This is my first article for Win Daily Sports and I am pumped to kick things off on Monday of Masters Week! Check out the FanDuel MLB 4/6 breakdown below.
As usual, I will be going over 3 pitchers and 3 teams that we should be looking to stack in our FanDuel lineups tonight. Let’s get to it!
The Aces
A. This section for tonight should really be called “deGrom, and then everyone else”. While he is far and away the most expensive pitcher on the slate at $11,000, he is a very tough fade given that there are just no other arms that are even remotely near his skill level. The Mets did have a Covid layoff to start the season, but I do not expect this to impact DeGrom at all. He is someone that we should start nearly all of our lineups with, outside of a few differentiated GPP bullets with the 2 arms that follow.
B. For lineups that we hold our breath and fade DeGrom in, we should make sure that we grab exposure to some expensive stacks that lines with DeGrom will not be able to utilize. On these lineups, I will be looking to Jose Quintana for salary relief at just $6,900. Quintana is mostly an innings-eater type of starter that does not strike many batters out, but he should be able to get us the quality start bonus if he is able to limit runs. If the Astros get to him early, he will be in for a rough outing since he is unable to offset the negative points with a plethora of K’s. With that said, he is cheap and will be very low owned since he is not DeGrom.
C. My last “Ace” for today is going to be Dustin May at $6,800. May has a better matchup than Quintana as the Athletics do not pack quite as big of a punch as the Astros, and he is also $100 cheaper. I would expect him to be slightly higher owned than Quintana, but again, any lineup that does not start with DeGrom will still be contrarian tonight on FanDuel. Dustin sported a 1.09 WHIP through 56 innings last season and really limited runs. If he can get his pitches moving tonight to generate some swings and misses, we will have ourselves a great Grom-alternative.
The Bases
A. Looking at the weather report, it looks like we have winds blowing out at Wrigley, which is always a spot that I look to target with my stacks. Wrigley is heavily impacted by wind due to the design of the ballpark, so when the winds are blowing out we tend to see homeruns in bunches. The top two bats we want on the Brewers side are Yelich ($4,300) and Hiura ($2,900). We can also sprinkle in Shaw ($2,900) and Wong ($3,200) to complete the stack, as Trevor Williams and his 1.58 WHIP are no stranger to letting up runs.
B. I will be looking to make quite a few game stacks at Wrigley because not only do we have the weather in favor of the bats, but we also have two sub-par pitchers on the mound. The Cubs will be taking swings against Brian Anderson who is not quite as much of a gas can as Williams, but still does surrender a 1.28 WHIP. He was able to limit runs at an average rate last season, but he will need more than an average performance to limit runs against this team in this environment. Stacking the Cubs anywhere from the 1-5 spots should prove to be a profitable strategy Monday night.
C. For my final stack I will be looking to target a pitcher that gives up plenty of runs with a team that scores plenty of them. Seems like a great idea, right? Desclafani sported a 7.22 ERA last season, and we have all seen the damage that this Padres lineup can do to a pitcher like that. Tatis ($4,200), Machado ($4,000), Hosmer ($3,700) and Myers ($3,400) are the top 4 to target here, but if we also want DeGrom then we will need to drop down to Profar ($2,200) or Caratini ($2,300) to round out our stack.
That is it for me today for my first article! Please also check out our projection models here. If you have any questions, I will be in our expert chat in Discord leading up to lock so feel free to shoot me a DM!
