Alright, ladies and gentlemen! We have ourselves an interesting little five-game slate to get into today. Our studs have tough matchups, a ton of middling pitchers, and negative park effects all over the place so I’ll do my best today to make sure you have good information to go off of to prepare you for this 7 gamer. Here is my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate breakdown for 8.15.
Main Slate Breakdown for 8.15 Pitching:
Quick note: I am going under the assumption that this whole Orioles offense being good thing is real so I’m not touching Corbin today. If you think that it is a fluke, He should be in play for Cash or GPP. I just think his ownership will still be high because they see Cobrin vs. Orioles and there will not even be the benefit of an ownership drop.
Cash:
Cristian Javier, Astros, 7.8K:
I’m not really interested in anyone besides German Marquez tonight near the top of the pitching list on FanDuel. When you dig into the numbers they just aren’t worth the price and I can honestly see guys like Corbin, Buehler, and Paxton get rocked. Javier has a 27 percent K rate this season while Seattle sits at or near the bottom in every major statistical hitting category. Javier has shown flashes this season including an outing versus the Dodgers where he whiffed eight while only giving up one earned against the Dodgers.
German Marquez:
Marquez is my favorite pitcher overall tonight. The Rangers have hit a grand total of 12 home runs and 57 RBI’s this season and German is sitting at a 27 percent K rate and has only allowed 6 earned in 4 outings thus far. the only guys who concern me to any extent tonight are Joey Gallo and Shin-Soo Choo but given the Rangers track record for run production even they aren’t really much of an issue.
GPP
Nathan Eovaldi:
This one is absolutely a high-risk play. The Yankees have been mashing this season but Eovaldi hasn’t performed horribly and Judge and Stanton are sidelined with injuries drastically reducing the risk. Don’t get me wrong, the Yanks can still smash even without them but Eovaldi is striking out 24 percent and his fly-ball rate against right-handed bats is a touch over 24 percent so I’ll take the risk.
Alex Young, Diamondbacks, 5.7K:
If you really want to load up on the Rockies tonight you will need some value at pitching tonight and I like Young in that role. His numbers are skewed due do him being a bullpen arm but he has been strong against right-handed bats with a pretty low 30 percent hard-hit rate and only a .167 ISO in limited work. He could very well bust, I’m aware of that, but it won’t take much more than 4-5 innings of work with 4-5 strikeouts to return more than enough in terms of value.
Main Slate Breakdown for 8.15 Stacks and Bats:
Oakland:
I’m really liking the Oakland bats tonight. After giving it a little time to see what the park adjustments in San Fransisco would mean for production we can reasonably say that Oracle has gone from one of the worst hitters parks to on of the better parks in 2020. Kevin Gausman is sporting a hard-hit rate around 40% for both righties and lefties this season, we do not have any BVP data but Marcus Semien, Matt Chapman, Matt Olsen, and MarkCahna all sport an ISO over .220 against RHP and fly ball rates over 40% with the wind blowing out at around 10 mph tonight. Plus you get the added benefit of no bat priced over 3.7K.
Cash or GPP: Chapman, Olsen, Simien, Olsen
Angels:
This one isn’t for the faint of heart as Walker Buehler is hovering right up there with Corbin tonight in price and being on the west coast folks may not have noticed that he isn’t pitching all that well this. In 3 appearances he’s given up 12 runs in a little over 14 innings with a 57% fly-ball rate overall with a 47% hard-hit rate against right-handed bats. Still a small sample this season but guys like Mike Trout, Anthony Rendon, Shohei Ohtani, Jason Castro, and Brian Goodwin are all popping out as good plays today. All have ISO’s of over .250 against RHP this season and hard-hit rates over 40 percent.
Cash: Trout, Ohtani, Rendon GPP: Goodwin, Castro
Rockies:
It’s shaping up to be a rough night for Kyle Gibson. Pitching in Colorado is hard enough. Combine that with a 70 (yes 70) percent hard-hit rate in three starts and a lineup full of guys who can get the ball in the air and we may see several leave the park tonight. Implied total for the Rockies is over 6.5 right now and it actually opened at 6.8, that is a crazy number. Nolan Arenado, Garrett Hampson, Charlie Blackmon, Trevor Story, and Daniel Murphy all profile extremely well in this contest tonight. My builds are likely going to be a ton of Oakland and Colorado tonight.
Others to consider: Rays, Phillies, Nationals, and ALWAYS DODGERS
Cash and GPP: Hampson, Blackmon, Arenado, Story, Murphy
Favorite Pitcher:
Cash: Marquez
GPP: Eovaldi
Favorite Stack: Oakland and Colorado
Favorite Chalk Player: Charlie Blackmon
Favorite Low Owned Player: Mark Canha
Salary Saver: Brian Goodwin
Home Run Call: Matt Olsen
Thanks for taking the time to look through my Win Daily Sports FanDuel main slate 8.15 breakdown. Looking forward to seeing some green screens this evening. Any questions about the breakdown, I will be available all day in the WinDaily Discord Chat. Don’t forget to subscribe to the WinDaily Youtube channel and follow @WinDailySports on Twitter to stay current and up to date on all of our fresh new content!