This week we are in the Twin Cities in Minnesota for the 3M Open. It has added significance with the FedEx playoffs going from the usual top 125 golfers to only 70 this year. Most of those making the 12 hour flight from England to play this week are doing so out of desperation to try and crack that top 70. A select few want to move up and are already seeded. The 3M Open DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections are tailored to bring you the pivots off heavy chalk, value, and solid sleepers to help your team(s) rise to the top of the field in multiple formats.
The Course and it’s Horses
This course favors long accurate hitters. The around the green game has been nullified by the larger than life greens even though you still have to putt well. There are many water hazards on this course which means rostering control hitters that can avoid bogeys. We project that player #54 through player #79 will have added pressure trying to stay inside that 70 golfer plateau to get to East Lake. Favorites with the shortest odds include Finau, Young, IM, and Matsuyama.
Recent Results
Last week our Frisky Biscuit and Ice Water plays both made the cut and brought great value at 2% and under 2% ownership. Rozner finished top 20 and brought whale sized leverage. This brings our overall record to 52-15. Our record since the Sentry in January is 32-9. That’s for a six K salaried golfer under 5 % ownership that makes the cut to bring value. Both values were in the 5K salary range for the Open.
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Whether to trust the Weather
The weather is calling for extreme heat and little rain. The course is dry, any morning moisture may help. There will be winds in the pm as well. We feel there’s a slight advantage to the am wave, if you have golfers in the pm that you want to roster we don’t believe the difference is enough to stay off them. We will have updates in Discord tonight.
Projections
Let’s take a look at The 3M Open Ownership Projections. These projections are designed to allow you to pivot off chalk and find leverage and value for your team(s).
OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | OWN % | SALARY |
Young, Cameron | 21.9 | 10900 |
Im, Sungjae | 21.5 | 10300 |
Straka, Sepp | 21.2 | 9500 |
Aberg, Ludvig | 20.9 | 9400 |
Rai, Aaron | 18.9 | 7900 |
Finau, Tony | 18.8 | 10600 |
Matsuyama, Hideki | 18.4 | 10000 |
Grillo, Emiliano | 18.1 | 9700 |
Glover, Lucas | 17.7 | 8200 |
Eckroat, Austin | 16.9 | 7500 |
Hadwin, Adam | 15.9 | 8900 |
Ghim, Doug | 14.6 | 7400 |
Cole, Eric | 14.2 | 7800 |
Davis, Cameron | 13.8 | 9000 |
Norrman, Vincent | 13.7 | 8100 |
Poston, JT | 12.8 | 8400 |
Woodland, Gary | 12.7 | 9200 |
Jaeger, Stephan | 12.4 | 9100 |
Reavie, Chez | 12.3 | 7300 |
Thomas, Justin | 11.9 | 9300 |
Fox, Ryan | 11.7 | 7600 |
Hubbard, Mark | 11.4 | 8300 |
Hojgaard, Nicolai | 10.3 | 7900 |
Sigg, Greyson | 9.6 | 7200 |
Mitchell, Keith | 9.1 | 8600 |
Yu, Kevin (Chun-an) | 8.9 | 7100 |
Higgo, Garrick | 8.3 | 7400 |
Pendrith, Taylor | 8.2 | 7800 |
Hoge, Tom | 7.9 | 7500 |
Theegala, Sahith | 7.3 | 8700 |
Rodgers, Patrick | 7.2 | 8500 |
Hodges, Lee | 7.1 | 7300 |
Suh, Justin | 7.0 | 7600 |
Champ, Cameron | 6.9 | 7600 |
Hossler, Beau | 6.7 | 8000 |
Spaun, JJ | 5.9 | 8800 |
Noren, Alexander | 5.8 | 7700 |
Kuest, Peter | 4.9 | 7400 |
Svensson, Adam | 4.8 | 7400 |
Palmer, Ryan | 4.8 | 7200 |
Tarren, Callum | 4.6 | 7000 |
Wu, Dylan | 4.5 | 7000 |
Bennett, Sam | 4.4 | 7200 |
Garnett, Brice | 4.3 | 6500 |
Wu, Brandon | 3.9 | 7300 |
Merritt, Troy | 3.8 | 6900 |
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon) | 3.7 | 6900 |
Young, Carson | 3.7 | 6800 |
Thompson, Davis | 3.6 | 7100 |
Long, Adam | 3.6 | 6800 |
Bezuidenhout, Christiaan | 3.4 | 7500 |
Pan, CT | 3.4 | 6900 |
Daffue, MJ | 3.2 | 7100 |
Lee, KH | 3.1 | 7300 |
Stevens, Sam | 3.0 | 7300 |
NeSmith, Matthew | 2.9 | 7100 |
Griffin, Ben | 2.9 | 7100 |
Gordon, Will | 2.9 | 7100 |
Kim, Michael | 2.9 | 6900 |
Gerard, Ryan | 2.9 | 6800 |
Lashley, Nate | 2.7 | 7200 |
Montgomery, Taylor | 2.7 | 7200 |
Dahmen, Joel | 2.7 | 6800 |
Cone, Trevor | 2.5 | 6800 |
Hardy, Nick | 2.4 | 7200 |
Hadley, Chesson | 2.3 | 6900 |
Ramey, Chad | 2.3 | 6900 |
Blair, Zac | 2.3 | 6300 |
Capan III, Frankie | 2.2 | 6500 |
Lipsky, David | 2.1 | 6700 |
Piercy, Scott | 2.1 | 6600 |
Streelman, Kevin | 2.0 | 7000 |
Kizzire, Patton | 2.0 | 6700 |
Kucher, Matt | 1.9 | 7500 |
Horschel, Billy | 1.9 | 7100 |
Hahn, James | 1.9 | 6800 |
Lower, Justin | 1.9 | 6900 |
Martin, Ben | 1.7 | 7000 |
Cink, Stewart | 1.6 | 7000 |
Novak, Andrew | 1.6 | 6900 |
Hall, Harry | 1.6 | 6800 |
Roy, Kevin | 1.5 | 6400 |
Gligic, Michael | 1.5 | 6100 |
Duo, Zecheng | 1.4 | 6700 |
Duncan, Tyler | 1.4 | 6600 |
Grant, Brent | 1.4 | 6300 |
Lebioda, Hank | 1.4 | 6300 |
Moore, Ryan | 1.3 | 6700 |
Murray, Grayson | 1.3 | 6700 |
Van Rooyen, Erik | 1.3 | 6600 |
Goya, Tano | 1.3 | 6500 |
Ryder, Sam | 1.2 | 6700 |
Shelton, Robby | 1.1 | 6500 |
Hughes, Mackenzie | 0.9 | 7000 |
Yuan, Carl | 0.9 | 6700 |
Armour, Ryan | 0.9 | 6400 |
Kodaira, Satoshi | 0.8 | 6200 |
Wallace, Matt | 0.7 | 7000 |
Smotherman, Austin | 0.7 | 6500 |
Baddeley, Aaron | 0.4 | 6500 |
Snedeker, Brandt | 0.3 | 6200 |
Griffin, Lanto | 0.2 | 6700 |
Redman, Doc | 0.2 | 6600 |
Higgs, Harry | 0.2 | 6400 |
Gribble, Cody | 0.2 | 6300 |
VanArragon, Caleb (a) | 0.2 | 6100 |
Gale, Daniel | 0.2 | 6000 |
Malnati, Peter | 0.1 | 6800 |
Hoffman, Charley | 0.1 | 6700 |
Knox, Russell | 0.1 | 6600 |
Mullinax, Trey | 0.1 | 6600 |
Tway, Kevin | 0.1 | 6600 |
Laird, Martin | 0.1 | 6500 |
Walker, Jimmy | 0.1 | 6500 |
Streb, Robert | 0.1 | 6400 |
Percy, Cameron | 0.1 | 6400 |
Dufner, Jason | 0.1 | 6300 |
Endycott, Harrison | 0.1 | 6300 |
Taylor, Ben | 0.1 | 6200 |
Echavarria, Nico | 0.1 | 6200 |
Chappell, Kevin | 0.1 | 6100 |
Alexander, Tyson | 0.1 | 6000 |
Norlander, Henrik | 0.0 | 6500 |
Kraft, Kelly | 0.0 | 6400 |
Hickok, Kramer | 0.0 | 6400 |
Nunez, Augusto | 0.0 | 6400 |
Schmid, Matti (Matthias) | 0.0 | 6400 |
Onishi, Kaito | 0.0 | 6400 |
Werenski, Richy | 0.0 | 6300 |
Brehm, Ryan | 0.0 | 6300 |
Summerhays, Preston (a) | 0.0 | 6300 |
O’Hair, Sean | 0.0 | 6200 |
Byrd, Jonathan | 0.0 | 6200 |
Stuard, Brian | 0.0 | 6200 |
Cook, Austin | 0.0 | 6200 |
Landry, Andrew | 0.0 | 6200 |
Watney, Nick | 0.0 | 6100 |
Herman, Jim | 0.0 | 6100 |
Noh, Seung-Yul | 0.0 | 6100 |
Haley II, Paul | 0.0 | 6100 |
Schwab, Matthias | 0.0 | 6100 |
Frittelli, Dylan | 0.0 | 6100 |
McGreevy, Max | 0.0 | 6100 |
Werbylo, Trevor | 0.0 | 6100 |
Hitchner, Derek | 0.0 | 6100 |
Hearn, David | 0.0 | 6000 |
Collins, Chad | 0.0 | 6000 |
Gay, Brian | 0.0 | 6000 |
Trainer, Martin | 0.0 | 6000 |
Harrington, Scott | 0.0 | 6000 |
Westmoreland, Kyle | 0.0 | 6000 |
Matthews, Brandon | 0.0 | 6000 |
Lehman, Thomas | 0.0 | 6000 |
Rolland, Eric | 0.0 | 6000 |
Hofman, Noah | 0.0 | 6000 |
Gaugert, Alex | 0.0 | 6000 |
These figures for The 3M Open DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections are accurate as of 17:29 EST. The higher tier golfers may/will show a higher percentage by lock.
My 3M Open Top Plays
Top Tier: Jaeger
Mid Tier: Pendrith
Low Tier: B Griffin
Out in Left Play: Yu
Our Frisky Biscuit Play will be in Discord later Tonight ! *Risky*
FR Leader: Hojgaard
FR Leader: Kuest (Contrarian)
What to Watch
If you want the biggest bank and better ROI as a bettor, you have to check out the Bettor Golf Podcast available on Spotify, Apple and other channels. You get the top % plays on H2H betting, plus top 40, top 20, and top10. Let Golf betting experts Stix and Spencer give you the plays that offer the most percentage and best edge for your hard earned money. They have cutting edge plays for DFS each week with proven analysis. They have also partnered with Underdog and have the latest intel on the ADP Golf drafts. Spencer and Stix will bring you information you can always trust. The Bettor Golf Podcast is brought to you by Win Daily Sports.
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by Joel, who has won multiple Showdowns including the top MME prize. It also features Sia, who picks FRL leaders as often as your co workers steal your lunch. It features Spencer with proven model expertise and the man, Deep Dive Dave who has picked recent outrights at 80-1, 65-1, and another 80-1. You could lose every single play from here through the FedEx playoffs and still make a profit with Dave’s plays. Why go anywhere else?
It’s at 9:00 EST on Tuesday nights and is fun, engaging and educational. The audience is growing every week due to the pinpoint picks by the expert staff, and it’s a blast watching them steal each other’s picks. Tune in once and you’ll be amazed with the content.
The elite Win Daily Sports golf staff will stay within the salary guidelines and bring you plays and value leverage. Congrats to the Audience team who rolled into first place once again. Audience- make sure you let the other participants in Discord know that second place is actually the first loser……smile.
Parting Shot
“The ardent golfer would play Mount Everest if somebody put a flagstick on top.”
Pete Dye
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!