We often talk about DFS Stacks in MLB, and you can stack in football as well. Stacking your QB with your receiving core is a great idea, as you’ll get points on both ends. In 2017, QB/WR stacks earned 20+ points fifty-two times, or 3.05 times per week. This is a tried-and-true strategy for racking up big points.
Utilizing Connections in DFS Stacks
DFS Stacks of QB/RB is a little more complicated. If the RB on the team catches the ball well out of the backfield, something players like Alvin Kamara do on a consistent basis, you can stack the QB with the RB. This is especially true if the defense they’re facing that day runs a scheme that leaves RBs out of the backfield uncovered or left to a slower linebacker. You can uncover a great matchup by researching little tidbits like this. However, the only time you’d want to stack a QB with an RB is if he catches the ball out of the backfield a lot. In 2017, there were only twenty-five occurrences of twenty-point QB/RB stacks, or 1.47 per week. There just aren’t that many Alvin Kamaras and Christian McCaffreys out there.
You’re looking for an accumulation of points. So you don’t want to take a QB and an RB out of a balanced offense and get a marginal return from both in your DFS Stacks. It would be better for you to take a QB from a pass-heavy offense and an RB from a run-heavy one. That way, you’re taking the biggest producers from each offensive scheme.
Go for the Full Game with DFS Stacks
You can also stack the entire game, just like with baseball DFS Stacks. If you take a look at the Vegas line and the game is projected to be close and high-scoring, you might have a shootout on your hands. As long as you don’t pick either of the defenses, this situation could really pay off for you. You’ll get points from both offenses as they go back and forth throughout the game. The longer defenses stay on the field, the more tired they get. So that production is only going to increase as you head into the second half.
Think about DFS Stacks as a series of correlations. If you stack your QB and WR, you’re betting that they’re going to connect for a lot of passing yards and a couple TDs. You want these sorts of dependent relationships. Look at how good the two future Hall of Famers Tom Brady and Randy Moss were when they were in New England together. If you took Brady and Moss, not only were you getting two players at the top of their game. Every time they connected, you would rack up points with a compounding effect.
Defensive Considerations in DFS Stacks
You can think about correlations for defenses, too. If you pick a defense to hold their opponent to a few points, the correlation strategy would be to pick that team’s RB as well in your DFS Stacks. If the defense does what it’s supposed to, the team will likely maintain a lead throughout the game. They will run the ball a lot to wind down the clock.
You’ll also want to examine Vegas lines to look for potential full game stacks, to note games to avoid, and to predict game flow. If the over/under for the game is in the mid to high 50s and the spread is minimal, the betting world is expecting a back-and-forth shootout. That is an ideal situation for DFS and full game DFS Stacks. Vegas is only a prediction tool, though, and games with lower totals could provide the same high scoring shootout with the added bonus of low ownership. So don’t be afraid to full game stack a lower Vegas total game.
You can also take a look at the games with a low over/under and pick up one of those defenses in your DFS Stacks. Use the over/under as a reference point for the players you already have penciled into your lineups, too, because if you have an offensive player on one of the teams with an over/under at twenty or fewer points, it’s highly unlikely that they will be the only player who racks up good offensive points in the game.
Vegas Knows
Check out the spreads as well. If a team is heavily favored, you can use that information to your advantage. Pick up the RB that will get a lot of touches late in the game to run down the clock. Likewise, if a team is expected to lose big, that would be a good sign that you should target their QB or top WR.
For full game DFS stacks to pay off, though, you want the game where two bad defenses are squaring off. Then the plan is to stack four to six players with proper correlations. A good combination would be two to four QB-WR-TE from your predicted trailing team along with one to three RB-WR-TE from your predicted leading team. Combine whoever you think will come out on top with an RB and some receivers, along with the trailing team’s QB and WRs. Then, to round out your team, you can sprinkle in some value plays or high-end guys from other games.
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