Around a decade ago Tiger Woods and Phil Mickelson were battling it out on the back nine here for the championship. Since it was decided that the elevated tourneys (20 million purse)would wrap around this event the field has shrunk in stature. LIV golf can be somewhat responsible for that as well. The picturesque course, especially the seventh hole, has had more wedding proposals than the back seat of a sedan. This week they will play three courses, have a 54 hole cut on Saturday night, and only the top 60 and ties will advance to Sundays final round. The Pebble Beach Pro Am DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections are designed to give you the tools to find leverage and value in all the tiers to strengthen your teams to make a run at a takedown.
Recent Results
Eric Barnes. He was our Frisky Biscuit play last week. A lot of subscribers said, “Who?’ “Never heard of him.” “Not going near him.” He was a 6K golfer that almost 99% of the field thought the same of and they all passed on him. Eric Barnes was the lock. He was first in leverage, first in value, and he made the Optimal lineup as a 6600 salaried golfer. We put the play out in Win Daily Sports discord every Wednesday evening. Subscribers cashed with him in 3/6 and 4/6 lineups as well. Golf is volatile and DFS golf has become extremely efficient in the last two years. The Golf Goddess can bitch slap a premium player or journeyman at the drop of a pin, especially in the low salary range. Our record is now 22-6 for a 6K golfer that everybody hates or just won’t play.
What it Takes
It took over 100 man hours to bring you that play and other picks using sophisticated AI programs like our leverage and value program, as well as boots on the ground. When Win Daily Sports says,” we do the heavy lifting for you”- you better believe it! For the ridiculous price of 5.99 a week you could have that intel and much more that would make all the difference in the world. Use the promo code “GREEN” and your first week is on us! Our Frisky Biscuit play will be in Win Daily Sports discord later tonight. Join us and get in the winners circle this very week!
The Course – The Field
This tourney has a three course rotation, Monterrey Peninsula plays the easiest, Spyglass has the trees buffering the coastal winds, and Pebble Beach is the stingiest course. The cut will be Saturday night after 54 holes.
Whether to trust the Weather
At present the weather is calling for calm on Thursday and it looks like decent weather until the winds hit early Saturday afternoon which means the pre cut rounds will be over two thirds complete. Please check out the Win Daily Sports discord for up to the minute weather all through tonight.
Targets and Traps
I will be fading the top tier except for M. Fitzpatrick. We believe a more balanced approach is the key for success this week and with this weaker field you don’t want to make four picks in the 6K range. For Show Down we recommend the Monterrey course, if windy the Spyglass course, and use the Pebble Beach course for contrarian and leverage plays. If you do dip down in the 6K range, for every player you roster in that range your lineup becomes more unique. Be Careful!
**UPDATE** Matt Fitzpatrick just announced he had a neck injury from last week, isn’t 100% (is he 99% ?)and that his swing isn’t full cut. He has lost 3 points to Hoveland in the time that article came out and they are virtually neck and neck right now. Expect Mav to pick up a share or two as well.
Lets take a look at The Pebble Beach Pro Am DFS DraftKings Ownership Projections
OWNERSHIP PROJECTION | ||
PLAYER | OWN % | SALARY |
Fitzpatrick, Mathew | 26.4 | 10100 |
Hovland, Viktor | 26.2 | 10300 |
McNealy, Maverick | 21.3 | 9600 |
Spieth, Jordan | 17.9 | 10600 |
Stallings, Scott | 16.7 | 7900 |
Power, Seamus | 16.4 | 9800 |
Hoge, Tom | 15.7 | 10000 |
Gordon, Will | 15.3 | 7600 |
NeSmith, Matthew | 15.2 | 7300 |
Smalley, Alex | 14.9 | 8700 |
Mitchell, Keith | 14.8 | 9100 |
Putnam, Andrew | 14.7 | 9700 |
Hardy, Nick | 14.4 | 7700 |
Griffin, Ben | 13.8 | 8600 |
Hossler, Beau | 13.7 | 7400 |
Knox, Russell | 11.8 | 7500 |
Detry,Thomas | 11.3 | 8800 |
Kitayama, Kurt | 11.2 | 7500 |
Burmester, Dean | 10.9 | 8400 |
Dahmen, Joel | 10.6 | 9000 |
Lashley, Nate | 10.5 | 7300 |
Tarren, Callum | 10.4 | 7200 |
Sigg, Greyson | 10.3 | 7300 |
Rose, Justin | 9.9 | 9500 |
Kim, SH (Seonghyeon) | 9.7 | 7600 |
Todd, Brendon | 9.6 | 7900 |
Lipsky, David | 9.4 | 8200 |
Shelton, Robby | 9.3 | 7800 |
Kucher, Matt | 8.9 | 9400 |
Griffin, Lanto | 8.8 | 7600 |
Taylor, Nick | 8.7 | 8000 |
Taylor, Ben | 8.7 | 7200 |
Suh, Justin | 8.6 | 7300 |
Mullinax, Trey | 8.5 | 8100 |
Bramlett, Joseph | 8.4 | 7400 |
Riley, Davis | 8.2 | 7800 |
Moore, Taylor | 8.1 | 8300 |
Merritt, Troy | 8.1 | 7200 |
McCarthy, Denny | 7.8 | 9200 |
Pendrith, Taylor | 6.7 | 8900 |
Hubbard, Mark | 5.8 | 7000 |
Lower, Justin | 5.6 | 7200 |
Streelman, Kevin | 4.9 | 7100 |
Yu, Chun-an (Kevin) | 4.8 | 7300 |
Barnes, Erik | 4.5 | 7000 |
Piercy, Scott | 3.9 | 7200 |
Simpson, Webb | 3.8 | 7700 |
Van Rooyen, Erik | 3.2 | 8000 |
Kisner, Kevin | 3.1 | 8500 |
Baddeley, Aaron | 3.0 | 7100 |
Higgo, Garrick | 2.9 | 7400 |
An, Byeong | 2.8 | 7400 |
Hadley, Chesson | 2.8 | 6800 |
Walker, Jimmy | 2.7 | 6900 |
Malnati, Peter | 2.6 | 6800 |
Armour, Ryan | 2.5 | 6700 |
Norlander, Henrik | 2.4 | 6800 |
Palmer, Ryan | 2.3 | 7500 |
Yuan, Carl | 2.3 | 7000 |
Higgs, Harry | 2.2 | 7100 |
Willett, Danny | 2.1 | 7100 |
Schmid, Matthias (Matti) | 2.1 | 7100 |
Eckroat, Austin | 2.0 | 7000 |
Cook, Austin | 1.9 | 6900 |
Martin, Ben | 1.9 | 6700 |
Cole, Eric | 1.8 | 6800 |
Percy, Cameron | 1.8 | 6700 |
Stevens, Sam | 1.7 | 7000 |
Schenk, Adam | 1.6 | 7000 |
Hahn, James | 1.6 | 6600 |
Schwab, Matthias | 1.5 | 6900 |
Donald, Luke | 1.5 | 6900 |
Glover, Lucas | 1.4 | 6800 |
Kodaira, Satoshi | 1.4 | 6800 |
Smotherman, Austin | 1.4 | 6700 |
Noh, Seung-Yul | 1.3 | 6800 |
Hoffman, Charley | 1.2 | 7000 |
Redman, Doc | 1.2 | 6800 |
Blair, Zac | 1.2 | 6700 |
O’Hair, Sean | 1.2 | 6600 |
Siem, Marcel | 1.2 | 6500 |
Wu, Brandon | 1.1 | 7100 |
Hall, Harry | 1.1 | 7100 |
Long, Adam | 0.9 | 7200 |
Ghim, Doug | 0.9 | 6900 |
Kim, Michael | 0.9 | 6700 |
Endycott, Harrison | 0.9 | 6700 |
Tway, Kevin | 0.8 | 6900 |
Novak, Andrew | 0.8 | 6900 |
Moore, Ryan | 0.8 | 6600 |
Alexander, Tyson | 0.8 | 6600 |
Frittelli, Dylan | 0.7 | 7000 |
Duo, Zecheng | 0.6 | 6900 |
Garnett, Brice | 0.6 | 6500 |
Stuard, Brian | 0.6 | 6400 |
Silverman, Ben | 0.5 | 6800 |
Norrman, Vincent | 0.5 | 6600 |
Wu, Dylan | 0.5 | 6600 |
Holmes, JB | 0.5 | 6400 |
Goya, Tano | 0.4 | 6600 |
Haley II, Paul | 0.4 | 6600 |
Ramey, Chad | 0.4 | 6600 |
Sabbatini, Rory | 0.4 | 6400 |
Villegas, Camilo | 0.4 | 6200 |
Daffue, MJ | 0.3 | 6900 |
Nunez, Augusto | 0.3 | 6700 |
Stroud, Chris | 0.3 | 6500 |
Lingmerth, David | 0.3 | 6500 |
Gay, Brian | 0.3 | 6500 |
Echavarria, Nico | 0.3 | 6500 |
Lebioda, Hank | 0.3 | 6400 |
Kraft, Kelly | 0.3 | 6400 |
Byrd, Jonathan | 0.3 | 6300 |
McGirt, William | 0.3 | 6300 |
Bryan, Wesley | 0.3 | 6100 |
Garrigus, Robert | 0.3 | 6000 |
Brown, Scott | 0.2 | 6300 |
Watney, Nick | 0.2 | 6200 |
Gligic, Michael | 0.2 | 6200 |
Potter Jr., Ted | 0.2 | 6000 |
Crane, Ben | 0.2 | 6000 |
Landry, Andrew | 0.1 | 6700 |
Gomez, Fabian | 0.1 | 6500 |
Kang, Sung | 0.1 | 6500 |
Roy, Kevin | 0.1 | 6400 |
Murray, Grayson | 0.1 | 6400 |
McGreevy, Max | 0.1 | 6400 |
Chappell, Kevin | 0.1 | 6300 |
Haas, Bill | 0.1 | 6300 |
Dufner, Jason | 0.1 | 6200 |
Werenski, Richy | 0.1 | 6200 |
Stanley, Kyle | 0.1 | 6100 |
Trainer, Martin | 0.1 | 6100 |
Van Pelt, Bo | 0.1 | 6000 |
Points, DA | 0.1 | 6000 |
Atwal, Arjun | 0.1 | 6000 |
Grant, Brent | 0.0 | 6500 |
Brehm, Ryan | 0.0 | 6400 |
Knowles, Philip | 0.0 | 6300 |
Harrington, Scott | 0.0 | 6300 |
Werbylo, Trevor | 0.0 | 6300 |
Cone, Trevor | 0.0 | 6300 |
Gribble, Cody | 0.0 | 6200 |
Westmoreland, Kyle | 0.0 | 6200 |
Matthews, Brandon | 0.0 | 6200 |
Albertson, Anders | 0.0 | 6200 |
Young, Carson | 0.0 | 6100 |
Pak, John | 0.0 | 6100 |
Manke, RJ | 0.0 | 6100 |
Chalmers, Greg | 0.0 | 6100 |
Johnson, Tom | 0.0 | 6100 |
Porter, Charles | 0.0 | 6100 |
Ogilvy, Geoff | 0.0 | 6000 |
Gainey, Tommy | 0.0 | 6000 |
Reband, Garett | 0.0 | 6000 |
O’Hara, Paul | 0.0 | 6000 |
These figures for The Pebble Beach Pro Am DFS Ownership DFS DraftKings Projections are accurate as of 18:13 EST. The higher tier golfers may/will show a higher percentage by lock.
My picks for The Pebble beach Pro Am
Top Tier: Fitzpatrick (he doesn’t need the long range for this course, he’s playing so it can’t be too bad) Hovland and Mav would be pivots if your concerns prevent you from rostering Fitz.
Mid Tier: Smalley
Low Tier: Hardy
Out in Left Play: Piercy
Our Frisky Biscuit Play will be in Discord later Tonight ! *Risky*
FR Leader: D. Riley
FR Leader: N. Hardy (contrarian)
What to Watch
Stix and Spencer of The Bettor Golf Podcast (powered by Win Daily Sports) are available on Anchor at Spotify, Apple and other channels. Stix’s hammer plays hits almost every single week and Spencer has the most comprehensive program breakdowns in the industry. They provide you with the tools to learn how to make money. For the best edge in the betting market and for outstanding DFS position and placement content, do not miss The Bettor Golf podcast! Its automatic for me to watch the outstanding PGA DraftCast and then switch to the elite Bettor Golf podcast. My ROI is way up due to that. No one works harder than Spencer and Stix on bringing you intrinsic value week after week.
The Premier Live Stream
Don’t forget to tune in to The PGA DraftCast, hosted by Joel and featuring Sia, Spencer, and the man, Deep Dive Dave and the surprise guest who drops by to battle you, the audience, for supremacy on the draft board. It’s back to the familiar time slot at 9:00 EST on Tuesday nights and is fun, engaging and educational. Show up, tune in, and help yourself and your audience win the week with the best team on the board!
The snake draft format allows the elite Win Daily golf staff to give in depth analysis on value plays and some choice sleepers!
We left Austin early Tuesday morning when it was 26 degrees and ice storms were prevalent. Austin has no power and no heat right now and no timetable for when it will be back up. That’s one reason why we are on the beach here in Belize looking out at the Caribbean Sea courtesy of DraftKings takedowns. Join Win Daily Sports for the criminally low price of 5.99 per week, and join us on the beach again in June! Again that promo code is “GREEN” for a free test drive. The umbrella is optional here on all your tropical adult beverages!
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money. You can also come and hang out in the Win Daily Sports Discord Chat to talk it out with everyone before the lock!