Patrick Waters 
CS:GO Slate Summary: Nine to Five (3am EST)
- 2 series on DK
- Best of 3
CS:GO SlateOverview
CS:GO Matchup#1: Hard Legion (-275) vs AGF (+200)
The first matchup of the CS:GO slate sees HL taking on AGF and features the biggest favorite of the slate. This is the third time these teams play one another in the last 35 days, with HL taking the other two series 2-0 and 2-1; the favorite comes in as the higher ranked team while AGF has won 3 of their past 5 series. Both times these teams have played, HL banned Nuke while AGF banned Mirage; they’re the two maps with the highest first ban rates for each team, respectively, and this shouldn’t change here today. HL typically goes with Overpass with their first selection, which they do 33% of the time, but have had great success versus AGF on Dust2 so they could go with one or the other and feel rather confident. AGF picks Inferno as their first map at a 45% rate and have a better winning percentage than HL, but the latter has a 44% win rate there and have 14 more maps played in the past 3 months, including beating AGF 16-6 in one of the previous matchups. Ultimately, AGF does not have a greater advantage here on any other map, other than possibly considering Train with their selection, but I think they’ll stick with Inferno. HL certainly has the map advantages if they play this one out strategically, and make for great targets on the CS:GO slate. Krad and Forester lead the way for their squad, posting K/D ratios of 1.06 and 1.08 over the past month, respectively, to go along with 0.76 and 0.73 kills per round, and the duo should draw the most ownership from the HL side. Another mid-tier target is rAge who carries a great ceiling for tournaments, and you can also consider kinqie if you want the ownership edge in the 7k price range; he hasn’t been all that impressive in the past month with a 0.95 K/D and 0.66 kills per round, but he does have a good track record versus AGF, going +17 on 91-74 in their last two matches and will surely come in lower owned than rAge.
Top Plays (HL):Krad ($8,200), Forester ($7,600), rAge ($7,000) or kinqie ($7,200)
Top Plays (AGF):TMB($8,600), fr0slev ($7,800)
CS:GO Matchup#2: Gambit Youngsters (-175) vs ALTERNATE aTTaX (+125)
The second CS:GO matchup on the slate has GY taking on AAT in what should be a tightly contested series. GY comes in as the higher ranked team and have one of the best players in the world, sh1ro, on their side, whereas AAT have the better form ranking and are clicking on all cylinders right now. Both teams ban Nuke at 88% and 93% first ban rates, respectively, so the second ban is where things will start to get interesting here. AAT holds the advantage on Dust2 in winning percentage, and are riding a 4-map winning streak, but have played there 9 fewer times than GY; AAT also holds the advantage on Inferno and Vertigo, with GY having the advantage on Mirage and Overpass. This one will for sure come down to the map leftover, and I’ll have shares of both sides in almost, if not every build (ex: 2 of one team, 1 of the other). As mentioned earlier, sh1ro is one of the best players in the world and will draw heavy ownership, and rightfully so; he has an absurd 1.33 K/D in the past month and 0.75 kills per round. His teammate, Ax1LE is no slouch in his own right, posting a 1.26 K/D and 0.79 kills per round in the last month and is my favorite play on the entire CS:GO slate. On the flipside, AAT has remarkable depth in their lineup. He was featured in every article since AAT has come onto DK slates in the past few weeks, and slaxz- came through yesterday with nearly 100 DK points: the awper has a 1.28 K/D and 0.75 kills per round in the last month, including going +/- 0 or better in 18 of his past 21 maps played. Both kressy and stfn make for great targets as well, especially if stacking them in large field tournaments, albeit I prefer the latter because of his price and point/$ upside.
Top Plays (GY): sh1ro ($9,800), Ax1LE ($6,800)
Top Plays (AAT):slaxz-($7,400), stfn ($6,400), kressy ($9,000)
CS:GO SlateNotes: Captains
- Upper Price Range: sh1ro ($14,700), Krad ($12,300)
- Mid-Tier Price Range: Forester ($11,400), slaxz- ($11,100)
- Lower Price Range: Ax1LE ($10,200)
- Favorite Captain: Ax1LE ($10,200)
CS:GO Slate Notes: Value Plays
- Ax1LE ($6,800) – His price makes no sense; I’ll have him in almost, if not every lineup
- stfn ($6,400) – Probably only going to use him if stacking AAT in large field tournaments
- supra ($6,000) – High risk, but has a high ceiling for his price
- Daffu ($6,200) – If AGF pulls off the upset, he’ll be a big part of it
You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!
