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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s CS Summit NA Breakdown 06/22

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit NA (2:45pm EST)

  • 4 series on DK
  • Best of 3 series

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: Chaos (+350) vs MiBR (-600)

The first game on the CS:GO slate will draw a ton of ownership with MiBR being heavy favorites against Chaos, but MiBR is coming off a brutal 2-0 loss versus EG yesterday after nearly fighting back in both games and could be in for a surprise. These teams have played twice in the last momth, tying 15-15 at the BLAST Premier while MiBR took down Chaos 2-0 in the other series at DreamHack. Chaos bans Vertigo 44% of the time and refuses to play there, while MiBR bans Nuke at an 86% rate, so we can scratch those two maps off the list. While Train is typically MiBR’s top map choice, I can see them turning to Dust2 where Chaos is widely unexperienced but I still think they go with the former, whereas Chaos’ top map choice is typically Inferno, but it wouldn’t surprise me to see them turn to Overpass where  MiBR is riding a 4-map losing streak. While I do think MiBr pulls off the win, don’t be surprised if it’s uglier than expected; they’ll be drained from yesterday’s series and Chaos does boast a great individual talent in Xeppaa; with the field being overweight on MiBR, I’ll likely have 1 player max or be fading altogether in large field tournaments, but they do have the ability to pop off for some great scores, nonetheless.

Top Plays: Fallen($9,400), kNgV- ($8,000), fer ($8,200), trk ($5,800)

CS:GO Game#2: New England Whalers (+600) vs Cloud9 (-1200)

The secondgame of the CS:GO slate sees the biggest favorites and my favorite stack,Cloud9, taking on the New England Whalers. C9 bans Mirage 83% of the time whileNEW bans Train at a 44% rate, so we can cross those two maps off the list. NEWwill likely turn to Nuke with their first pick while c9 will surely counterwith Overpass or Inferno; I think they choose the latter given NEW’s decentplay on the former. C9 cruises to a 2-0 sweep here and will be in every one of mybuilds.

Top Plays: floppy($9,000), oSee ($8,400), motm ($6,800)

CS:GO Game#3: Triumph (-700) vs YeaH Gaming (+400)

The third game on the CS:GO slate features another heavy favorite, Triumph, taking on YeaH Gaming. While the former does not boast the most talented squad, they do have an underappreciated star in Grim leading the way to go along with the up-and-coming duo of Junior and curry. Triumph bans Train 56% of the time while YeaH bans Vertigo at a 100% rate, so we can easily eliminate those two maps from contention, however, since YeaH does not like playing on Train either, it wouldn’t surprise me to see Triumph ban Inferno instead. Triumph will surely turn to Nuke for their first pick while YeaH can counter with Inferno, should it not be banned, or any other map since their selection process is fairly spread out. It’s nearly impossible to predict which map the latter will pick, but they’re severely outmatched across the board; Triumph sweeps 2-0 here.

Top Plays: Grim($9,200), Junior ($6,800)

CS:GO Game#4: Team Envy (-225) vs Team One (+162)

The last game of the CS:GO slate shouldn’t carry too much ownership given everyone flocking to C9, MiBR, and Triumph, so it has a lot of appeal from a GPP perspective for our lineups tomorrow. Both Envy and Team One ban Vertigo at the highest rate, so it’s likely Envy will ban another map instead. Envy hasn’t played since the Road to Rio back in May but have some of the best mid-tier plays on the board; here are their stats over the past 3 months:

  • MICHU: 1.12 K/D, 0.76 kills per round, 0.68 deaths per round, 1.15 rating
  • Calyx: 1.17 K/D, 0.80 kills per round, 0.68 deaths per round, 1.19 rating
  • Nifty: 1.02 K/D, 0.65 kills per round, 0.64 deaths per round, 1.04 rating.

While this may not be the most conventional game to take a look to for our lineup contruction, that’s exactly what we need to differentiate ourselves from the field; while I can’t see myself paying $8,800 for Calyx when players such as oSee, fer, and kNgV- are all cheaper, it will certainly make our lineup construction different and could be the separation from the field that we need to get to the top of the leaderboards.

Top Plays: Calyx($8,800), MICHU ($7,600), Nifty ($7,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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