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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s CS Summit Breakdown 07/04

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

  • 2 series on DK
  • Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Matchup#1: BIG (-225) vs OG (+162)

The first of two matchups of the CS:GO slate sees a rematch between BIG and OG for a place in the final versus Vitality. While BIG did lose the last encounter 1-2, it came down to a 16-14 win on Mirage for OG; BIG have won 3 of their past 5 series and are in better form, higher ranked, and the more talented squad, and are one of the best CS:GO teams in the world, while OG has won 4 of their past 5. BIG bans Train first 90% of the time while OG bans Vertigo first at a 93% rate so we shouldn’t see these two maps today. BIG is likely going to choose Dust2 as their map, where they boast a 79% win rate on 24 maps played and have beaten OG there before, whereas OG is likely to turn to Inferno or Mirage with their first pick. While OG took the first series from BIG, I don’t see it happening a second time in a row here; mantuu ($7,600) led the way for OG last time out, going +18 on 62-44 but with the way syrsoN ($8,000) looked yesterday versus Vitality, you better believe BIG wins this one to set up a rematch versus Vitality in the finals. I’m not opposed to using mantuu as a one-off but much rather stick to 3-3 stacks.

Top Plays: syrsoN ($8,000), XANTERES ($7,400), tabseN ($7,800), tiziaN ($6,400)

One-Off: mantuu($7,600)

CS:GO Matchup #2: Team Liquid (-300) vs GenG (+225)

The second matchup on the CS:GO slate sees TL taking on GenG for the second time in the past month after the former deated the latter 2-0 at DreamHack. TL comes into this one being in better form than GenG and having won 3 of their past 5, just as GenG has won 3 of their past 5. TL bans Train first 100% of the time while GenG bans Overpass first at a 71% rate so we can eliminate the possibility of seeing those two maps. While TL’s first pick is typically Mirage, I can see them turning to Dust2, where they hold a significant edge over GenG with a 62% win rate in 8 maps played compared to GenG’s 38% win rate on 8 maps played. GenG picked Mirage last time out since they have a better winning percentage (75% to 44%) than TL but learned the hard way that it is TL’s first pick for a reason and eventually lost 16-6 there; on today’s CS:GO slate, I can see them selecting Inferno, leaving Mirage or Vertigo at the map leftover. While neither Stewie2K or Twistzz have been playing well in the past month – the former has a 0.95 K/D and 0.67 kills per round and the latter has a 0.93 K/D and 0.62 kills per round – I’ll give the edge to Stewie2K who is +6 and has gone positive in 4 of his past 5 maps played compared to Twistzz who is -9 and has one positive K/D map in the same span.

Top Plays: EliGe ($8,400), NAF ($8,200), Stewie2K ($6,600), Twistzz ($6,800)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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