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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s CS Summit Breakdown 07/02

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

  • 4 series on DK
  • Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: OG (+100) vs GODSENT (-138)

The first matchup of the CS:GO slate sees OG taking on GODSENT. The former is the higher ranked team, coming in at #21 and have the better form ranking, taking 4 of their last 5 series. GODSENT is now ranked #28 and have won 3 of their past 5 series. OG bans Vertigo first at a 93% rate while GODSENT bans Mirage 93% of the time, so we can eliminate those two maps. Since OG now has their favorite map banned, they’ll likely turn to Inferno with their selection, where they’re riding a 6-map winning streak and post a 53% winning percentage compared to GODSENT’s 8%. GODSENT will have their favorite map, Nuke, at their disposal but I can see them turning to Overpass first where they have OG severely outmatched with the hope that Nuke or Train will be the map leftover. The Core 4 of Farlig, STYKO, zehN, and Maden all have K/D ratios over 1.00 in the last month and Maden specifically has been rather impressive with a team leading 1.17 K/D and 0.79 kills per round and makes for a great GPP target at low ownership. However, Farlig is the main target here, paired with one or two of the other three top plays.

Top Plays: Farlig($10,400), zehN ($7,200), STYKO ($6,600), Maden ($7,200)

CS:GO Game #2: North (+275) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (-400)

The second matchup of the CS:GO slate has North taking on NiP. While the latter is higher ranked at #13 compared to the former’s #27 and are in better form, North boasts the best individual talent in this series, aizy. North bans Mirage first at a 59% rate while NiP bans Dust2 88% of the time, so we can confidently cross those maps off the list. While NiP typically turns to Overpass with their first pick (57% rate), I think they go with Train here given that North bans it at a 22% rate – so they clearly do not like playing there – and have North outmatched with a 62% win rate in 13 maps played compared to North’s 33% win rate on 6 maps played. In a similar scenario, North’s favorite map is typically Vertigo, which they select at a 41% rate, but NiP are 7-4 there and have a higher winning percentage in the last three months; I think North looks to Nuke for their pick where NiP struggles mightily and have lost 4 in a row. This one will come down to the map selection process, and as long as North sticks to what was listed, I give them a much stronger chance to take this series than Vegas odds indicate; if they differ from the strategy and choose their typical maps, they’ll get swept easily. NiP is the pick here 2-1, but I love 2-man North stacks for large field GPPs.

Top Plays (NiP): twist ($7,200), REZ ($7,400), nawwk ($7,000)

Top Plays(North): aizy ($9,600), MSL ($8,400), cajunb ($6,600)

CS:GO Game#3: FURIA (-300) vs Cloud9 (+225)

The third matchup of the CS:GO slate has another good DFS target, FURIA, taking on C9. The former is now climbing up the world rankings and currently sits at #6, while also being in better form than #20 ranked C9. Dust2 and Mirage will be banned from FURIA and C9, respectively, while the former is likely to select Vertigo with their pick and the latter going with Overpass or Inferno. While the map statistics are fairly even for both teams, I’ll side with FURIA because of their ability to close out series and better individual talent from top to bottom on their roster, but recommend a hedge lineup with a 2-man C9 stack if running multiple lines.

Top Plays(FUR): yuurih ($7,800), HEN1 ($8,200), KSCERATO ($9,200), arT ($6,400)

Top Plays(C9): oSee ($8,000), floppy ($7,400)

CS:GO Game#4: 100 Thieves (-175) vs GenG (+125)

The last matchup of the CS:GO slate will see OHT taking on GenG; OHT comes in as the favorite despite being lower ranked and in worse form, but Vegas got this one right. Both teams ban Overpass first so look for 100 Thieves to use their ban on Mirage. OHT has GenG outmatched on Dust2, Inferno, Train, Overpass, and Vertigo and make for an excellent target for the late push in our lineups.

Top Plays: jks($7,800), jkaem ($6,400), Liazz ($6,200)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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