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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s CS Summit Breakdown 06/26

CS:GO Slate Summary: CS Summit (12pm EST)

  • 4 series on DK
  • Best of 3

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: x6tence (+200) vs Ence (-275)

The firstgame on the CS:GO slate sees a huge favorite, Ence, taking on x6tence. WhileEnce will be without their AWPer Jamppi, they still make for a prime target onthis slate; x6tence has had a limited amount of action and are in terribleform, losing their past 5 series, but have since acquired the Copenhagen Flamesroster just three days ago and are now completely revamped; they’ve only playeda single series together, where they lost 2-0 to NIP.

The first two bans are fairly predictable, barring any significant change from either squad; Ence bans Vertigo first at a 94% rate while x6tence bans Mirage first at a 100% rate. Where things get a little tricky is which map each team will select first; Ence typically turns to Train with their first pick, but I can see them going with Dust2 where they have their opponent severely outmatched. The same can be said for x6tence, who typically go with Nuke on their first pick, but can choose to select Inferno or Overpass instead where they are fairly comfortable as well. No matter which maps get picked, my love for Ence remains constant; they have proven to be fairly inconsistent against the top tier of teams, but usually take care of business when playing inferior opponents; they have them outmatched on every map here and should win 2-0 with ease.

Top Plays: allu($9,000), sergej ($7,200)

CS:GO Game #2: FaZe (-350) vs Team Heretics (+250)

The second game on the CS:GO slate sees the biggest favorite, FaZe, taking on Team Heretics. While I was on the HER and the Maka train yesterday, they severely disappointed. Despite an impressive +8 performance on 52-44 by Nivera, Maka (-24 on 24-48) and Lucky (-22 on 28-50) were nowhere to be found and combined for 24 DraftKings points. Heretics will need all the help they can get in this series against a FaZe squad who are one of the best in the world and will want to bounce back after getting swept by BIG yesterday.

FaZe bans Vertigo first at a 75% rate while HER bans Train first 80% of the time, so we can cross those maps off. FaZe will likely turn to Mirage with their selection where HER will pick either Inferno or Nuke, leaving Dust2 or Overpass as the likeliest map to be leftover. With how bad HER played yesterday, I just don’t see them overcoming the powerhouse that is FaZe. NiKo is the usual top target here and look for broky to have a great performance too, specifically on Mirage where he averages a 1.16 K/D and 0.71 kills per round in the past month. If you want to take shots on rain ($6,200) and/or coldzera ($7,600) in GPPs I don’t blame you; I’ll have my shares in MME since either of them can pop at any time, but their play over the past month has been uninspiring, to say the least.

Top Plays: NiKo ($8,800), broky ($7,600)

CS:GO Game#3: MiBR (+125) vs FURIA (-175)

The third CS:GO matchup of the slate sees MiBR taking on FURIA for the third time in the past month. FURIA bans Dust2 with their first ban 100% of the time while MiBR bans Nuke first 87% of the time. FURIA will likely select one of Vertigo or Mirage with their first selection, while MiBR will likely counter with Inferno, leaving Overpass as the map leftover. While MiBR had FURIA’s number at the BLAST Premier and beating them twice, with how they’ve been playing lately, I have my doubts and will bank on the fact that HEN1 will make those shots he missed yesterday versus EG. FURIA gets their revenge here and takes this one 2-1.

Top Plays(FURIA): yuurih ($7,200), HEN1 ($7,400), KSCERATO ($7,400)

Top Plays(MiBR): kNgV- ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#4: Chaos (+200) vs GenG (-275)

The lastgame of the CS:GO slate is interesting from both an analysis and ownership perspective.While GenG comes in as a heavy favorite, I think this series will be closerthan the odds indicate, and consequently it will have less ownership withpeople prioritizing FaZe and Ence. GenG bans Overpass first at a 68% rate whileChaos bans Vertigo first at a 48% rate, so we’re unlikely to see any of the twomaps here. I expect Chaos to turn to Nuke with their first selection where theyboast a 71% win rate in 7 maps played compared to GenG’s 33% win rate on 6 mapsplayed. GenG will then likely counter with Mirage instead of their typicalselection, Train, since Chaos struggles on the former more than the latter,leaving one of Dust2, Inferno or Train as the map leftover. While GenG has lost4 series in a row, they’ve faced some elite competition and find themselves ina great bounce back spot here today. On the flipside, Chaos has won 6 of theirlast 7 and could put up a fight. I think this one goes 3 and could go either way.

Top Plays (GenG):autimatic ($7,200), koosta ($6,800), BnTeT ($6,400), s0m ($5,800)

Top Plays(Chaos): Xeppaa ($8,400), leaf ($5,400)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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