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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/18/2020

CS:GO Slate Summary: BLAST (10:30am EST)

  • 3 games on DK
  • Best of 3 series

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: Natus Vincere (-250) vs Complexity (+175)

This is byfar the best series on the CS:GO slate tomorrow and what a way to start off.NAVI comes in as the #1 ranked team in the world behind their ever-so-powerfulduo of s1mple and electronic, while Complexity is in good form themselves. Thisone should get to 3 maps, barring NAVI’s duo just taking over the first twomaps; NAVI bans Vertigo at a 93% rate while Complexity bans Overpass at a 55%rate, so it’s likely that we do not see those two. I would expect NAVI to turnto Dust2, where they’ve played 15 times in the last 3 months, whereasComplexity will likely select Mirage or Nuke; I expect Inferno to be the lastmap left over. Complexity actually posts better winning percentages on all 5maps in play (Nuke, Train, Inferno, Dust2, and Mirage) but s1mple andelectronic are just too good to fade altogether. I’ll likely be hedging thisgame, but favor NAVI for single entry contests.

Top Plays: s1mple($9,200), electronic ($8,000), flamie ($4,800)

Hedge: blameF ($8,600), oBo ($6,800)

CS:GO Game#2: Team Vitality (-110) vs FaZe (-125)

Ah, ZywOo, we meet again. Vitality comes into the second game on the CS:GO slate to take on NiKo and FaZe. Vitality are now ranked #10 in the world, albeit some may consider them closer to top 5 than most, considering how well they’ve been playing; they come into this series in great form having won 4 of their last 5 and as the favorites. On the other hand, FaZe is the #3 ranked team in the world and are in great form themselves. Vitality bans Train at a 100% rate while FaZe bans Vertigo at a 72% rate; I expect those two maps to be out of contention right away. Vitality will likely select Nuke or Dust2 as their map, whereas FaZe will likely pick Mirage, leaving Inferno as the third map leftover. I’m not so much worried about exposure to the winning team here, rather I want to get exposure to the best individual talents.

Top Plays: ZywOo($9,000)

Top Plays:NiKo ($8,800), broky ($7,400), coldzera ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#3: FURIA (Odds TBD) vs Team Liquid (Odds TBD)

FURIA hasbeen playing tremendously over the last month and feature some of my toptargets. FURIA bans Dust2 at a 97% rate while Team Liquid bans Train 100% ofthe time, so we can easily scratch these maps off. I imagine FURIA would turnto Vertigo with their first pick and Team Liquid will select either Mirage orNuke; Mirage is their preferred map but FURIA is riding a 12-map winning streakthere. Either way, I see FURIA cruising here.

Top Plays: HEN1($7,600), yuurih ($7,200), KSCERATO ($7,800)

CS:GO SlateNotes

Rarely do I find myself building lineups the way I am, but this CS:GO slate is different than others we’ve had in the past. There is a ton of individual talent here and I want exposure to as much of it as possible. For example, even if FaZe wins, I want ZywOo in my lineups since he has gone as much as +25 in losses beforehand, while the same can be said for NiKo. Stay tuned in Discord for more updates on lineup construction, ownership, and updated favorite plays.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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