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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/17/2020

CS:GO Slate Summary: BLAST (10:30am EST)

  • 3 games on DK
  • Best of 3 series

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: G2 (-150) vs Ence (+110)

G2 fell just short of a win at DreamHack after losing to BIG in the finals, but played impressively well, nonetheless. In the first game of the CS:GO slate, the finalists at DreamHack take on Ence in what should be a great series. G2 is both the favorite and higher ranked, and Ence has been in much better form than they were a week ago, albeit G2 is not in poor form themselves. G2 bans Overpass at an 85% rate while Ence bans Vertigo 94% of the time, so it’s likely those will be taken out of consideration right away. I expect G2 to then turn to Nuke for their first pick, where they have Ence severely outmatched, but if they choose to go with Dust2 or Mirage, they might be in some trouble given Ence’s success there. I imagine Ence would pick Train and have G2’s number there, so this series will really come down to G2’s first map pick. Both suNny (0.95 K/D) and sergej (0.93 K/D) have been playing terribly for Ence over the past month, but Jamppi (1.02 K/D) has stepped up to support allu ($8,400) nicely. Ultimately, I think G2’s depth is too strong for Ence given how poorly both sergej and suNny have been playing. Both kennyS ($7,800) and huNter- ($8,800) are the clear targets for me, with nexa ($7,000) coming in third, should you want a 3-man stack.

Top Plays: kennyS($7,800), huNter- ($8,800), nexa ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#2: Ninjas in Pyjamas (-225) vs OG (+175)

This secondCS:GO game has some of my favorite tournament plays on the slate, similarly to howthe Complexity vs OG game did yesterday. NIP comes into this one as thefavorite, in better form than their counterparts, and is the overall bettersquad. NIP bans Dust2 at a 97% rate while OG bans Vertigo at a 91% clip, sothose two maps will be out of consideration out of the gate. I can see NIPturning to Overpass while OG will likely select Mirage, whom they beatComplexity on yesterday and looked rather impressive. Ultimately, I’ll sidewith NIP here to win 2-1 with the third map either being Inferno or Train.Because of his price tag, Plopski is my third priority in NIP stack, behind nawwkand twist, who lead the way Overpass over the last month with K/D ratios of1.16 and 1.31, respectively, to go along with 0.74 and 0.8 kills per round.

Top Plays: nawwk($7,800), twist ($6,000), Plopski ($8,600)

CS:GO Game#3: Team Liquid (-200) vs Evil Geniuses (+150)

The battleof the NA teams should be yet another tightly contested affair, with TeamLiquid facing off versus EG. TL looked sloppy in round robin play of DreamHack,only to rally in the playoffs, beating GenG, Cloud9, and 100 Thieves to get tothe finals in an eventual loss versus FURIA. EliGe seems to have found his gamein online play and makes this TL squad all that more dangerous, and makes foran elite target on this CS:GO slate. TL bans Train 100% of the time, while EGbans Overpass at a 41% rate. TL will likely select Dust2 as opposed to their typicalpick in Mirage since they overpower EG on the former every time they face oneanother, while EG will likely counter with Nuke or Vertigo, likely leaving Infernoas the third map to be played on. Given how good EliGe and NAF have beenplaying, despite CeRq’s stellar past month, I’ll side with TL, but if you’replaying EG, it’ll be the Brehze ($8,200) and CeRq ($7,400) show.

Top Plays: EliGE($9,000), NAF ($8,000), Twistzz ($7,200)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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