DFSGhost 
CS:GO Slate Summary: BLAST (10:30am EST)
- 3 games on DK
- Best of 3 series
CS:GO SlateOverview
CS:GO Game #1: Ninjas in Pyjamas (+125) vs Natus Vincere (-175)
The first series of the CS:GO slate should be an entertaining one, barring NIP comes out to play like they’re capable of. NIP bans Dust2 at a 97% rate and NAVI bans Vertigo at a 93% clip, so it’s likely those two maps will be avoided by both squads. Typically, Overpass is NIP’s map of preference, but the last time these two teams played at DreamHack, they lost 16-8 on it, so it’s possible they turn to Train in the first round. I think NAVI counters by selecting Nuke, where they have their opponent severely outmatched. If this goes to 3 maps, NIP can pull the upset, but I’ll side with the individual talents of s1mple and electronic to get the job done here. If taking a chance on NIP in large field tournaments, nawwk ($7,400) needs to be your go-to guy, and with Plopski ($7,200) hitting shots like he has been, the two make for an interesting duo. REZ ($6,800) could be the x-factor here, should NIP make it to 3 maps and will come in at low ownership.
Top Plays (NAVI stack): s1mple ($10,200), electronic ($7,600)
Value: flamie ($5,800) or Perfecto ($6,000)
CS:GO Game#2: OG (+125) vs Complexity (-175)
This series between OG and Complexity sees some of my favorite targets on the CS:GO slate. OG bans Vertigo at a 91% rate while Complexity bans Overpass at a 54% rate, so we can scratch those two maps off the list. Both teams love to pick Mirage as their first map, but the second one is nearly impossible to predict. Either way, I don’t see Complexity losing this one and I will have a ton of exposure to blameF ($9,400) in particular. Trying to fit both him and s1mple ($10,200) in the same lineup is nearly impossible without both paying down at captain and finding two viable punts, but I’ll have a few lineups with that exact lineup construction and some without s1mple and some without blameF; the latter is a great tournament pivot to a chalky s1mple, albeit that s1mple can be argued to be the best player in the world. In no way am I saying that I prefer the Complexity star, but it is worth a shot in large field tournaments.
Top Plays: blameF ($9,400), k0nfig ($7,400), oBo ($7,200), poizon ($6,800)
CS:GO Game #3:FURIA (-250) vs MiBR (+175)
FURIA iscoming into this series having won at DreamHack in convincing fashion, going5-0 and seem to be in top form. MiBR on the other hand struggled at DreamHack,going 1-2 in the group stage with losses to FURIA and Team Liquid, only to loseto Cloud9 in the first round of the lower bracket.
FURIA bans Dust2 and a 97% rate while MiBR bans Nuke at an 85% clip, so it’s unlikely that we see those two maps here. The issue for MiBR with the way that plays out is that they have their best map removed in the process. FURIA will likely turn to their map of preference, Vertigo, whereas MiBR can turn to Train or Inferno. Either way, I think FURIA cruises here, and the Big 3 of KSCERATO, yuurih, and HEN1 are all elite targets on this CS:GO slate and could draw lower ownership than expected considering everyone will flock to s1mple.
Top Plays: KSCERATO($8,400), HEN1 ($8,000), yuurih ($7,800)
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