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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/13/2020

CS:GO Slate Summary: DreamHack (8am EST)

2 games onDK

Best of 3series

CS:GO SlateOverview

CS:GO Game#1: FaZe (-188) vs BIG (+137)

With only a two-game CS:GO slate on tap on DraftKings, we’re going to have to find a way to get different with our lineup construction and this first game is a perfect spot to do so. The last time these two squads faced off just four days ago, BIG took down FaZe 2-0 and took advantage of FaZe’s mistake during the ban phase. If I had to guess how it would play out, I see BIG banning Train, which they do at an 83% rate, and FaZe countering by banning Vertigo, which they do at a 74% clip. BIG will likely choose Nuke or Overpass, where they have FaZe’s number, and FaZe will counter by either picking Inferno or Mirage. Last time they played, FaZe ended up picking the former and lost 16-5, so it wouldn’t surprise me to see them turn to Mirage this time out, not only for that reason, but because only broky (1.12) has a K/D over 1.00 on Inferno in the last month. I think BIG then bans whichever FaZe does not choose while FaZe will ban whichever BIG does not choose, leaving Dust2 as the map leftover. Ultimately, if FaZe chooses to take their chance on Inferno again, I’ll take BIG as the underdog here, but should the favorite learn from their previous mistake during the ban phase, this one will likely go 3 maps but I still like BIG’s upside.

Top Plays: syrsoN($7,400), tabseN ($8,400), XANTERES ($6,600)

Top Plays:NiKo ($8,800), broky ($7,000)

CS:GO Game#2: Cloud9 (+175) vs Team Liquid (-225)

The bookmakers have this one listed as an easy Team Liquid victory, but I disagree. As always, the ban phase will likely dictate the winner here; C9 bans Mirage at an 83% rate and this shouldn’t change given that it’s Team Liquid’s map of choice, while TL bans Train at a 100% clip. C9 will surely choose Overpass and cruise to victory there, where TL will likely select Inferno, Dust2, or Nuke. The issue with that is C9 actually matches up well on those maps, so this series will likely come down to C9 being able to close out a series, which, knowing them, they’ll somehow find a way to lose, but they looked great versus MiBR so I’ll definitely have my shares in almost half of my CS:GO lineups.

Top Plays:floppy ($8,200), motm ($6,400), oSee ($7,200)

Top Plays: EliGe($8,600), NAF ($7,800), Twistzz ($6,800)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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