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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 06/01/2020

CS:GO Slate Summary

4 games on DK (no FD tomorrow)

All games are Best of 1, not Best of 3

Winning stacks recently have been 2-2-2, 2-2-1-1, 3-1-1-1

CS:GO StackTarget #1: mousesports (-225)

While we had our fun picking on mousesports for the past two weeks due to their poor form, but they’re in a great matchup tomorrow against Dignitas. Dignitas is one of those teams that just hangs around and does their job by beating inferior squads but rarely takes down an elite one and there’s really no detailed statistics that do not back this up. Tomorrow will be the same when mousesports takes the victory.

Top Stack: ropz ($7,600), frozen ($7,400) or woxic ($6,800)

CS:GO StackTarget #2: fnatic (-138)

While FNC has been a victim of some successful underdog picks in recent weeks’ articles, they come in to face an inconsistent MAD Lions squad and should be able to ride their 4-man unit to victory. FNC has one of the deepest lineups in all of CS:GO and the experience to go along with it and while MAD Lions have had some impressive victories of their own, they’ve had some ugly loses as well. MAD Lions are undefeated on Inferno and should that map be picked, it will be interesting to see who takes it; FNC’s top map is also Inferno, winning at a 68.8% clip albeit a much larger sample size (11-5) compared to that of MAD (3-0), but they won’t be able to take a map away from arguably the top team in CS:GO — when they decide to play like it — in a best of 1.

Top Stack: Brollan($8,000), JW ($6,600), flusha ($7,800), KRIMZ ($7,600)

CS:GO StackTarget #3: Team Vitality (-150)

Ence was on a roll winning 7 of 8 but have since fallen off, losing their last two games to NIP and… Vitality. Losing 2-0 just two days ago at DreamHack, Ence will want to come out and play much better than they did in that series but I don’t think they’ll be able to stop ZywOo and co. Vitality swept them on Dust2 and Mirage so Ence will have to find a way to either win of those maps this time out or try their luck on Nuke and Overpass where they post lower winning percentages than their opponent, given the anticipated ban of Vertigo since Vitality remains undefeated there and Train since Ence outplays Vitality on there.

Top Stack: ZywOo($8,800), apex ($6,600), shox ($6,600)

CS:GO StackTarget #4: Astralis (-150)

I’m not asconfident in Astralis as I would be had Xyp9x and gla1ve were still on the roster.Both have stepped aside to tend to personal matters and now the #1 team in theworld finds itself scrambling for replacements. Ultimately, NIP has been tooinconsistent in the past two weeks to trust as a full stack, although theplayers listed below have the individual talent to contribute to our DFS lineupsand possibly pull off the upset. This one will ride on how well dupreeh cansupport both device and magisk; I still side with Astralis given NIP’s recentform and the device-magisk duo.

Top Stack: device($9,600), magisk ($9,000)

NIP stack: nawwk ($7,200), Plopski ($7,200), REZ ($7,000)

CS:GO SlateNotes

Recently there has been a change of strategy, specifically to DK. Less so on FD but we do not have to worry about that tomorrow since they are not entertaining the BLAST slates just yet. Typically, a 3-3 stack was optimal but recently it has been creative builds such as 2-2-2s, 2-2-1-1, and 3-1-1-1 that have been taking down the big GPPs. As a result, it is crucial to get as much exposure to the top players on the slate and be less concerned about full stacks, even more so on this slate since these games are best of 1 and not best of 3. See below.

CS:GO Top Players to Target (Locks)

Lock: ZywOo ($8,800)

Salary Saver Lock: JW ($6,600)

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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