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CS:GO DFS: Ghost’s Breakdown 05/19/2020

CS:GO Slate Summary

3 games on DK

2 games on FD

Optimal stack on DK is 3-3

Optimal stack on FD is 3-2-1, one-off is preferable atthe team spot

CS:GO Stack Target #1: Astralis (-1400)

Wow, what a line. The #1 team in the world comes into this match versus Heroic as a whopping -1400 favorite – safe to say we won’t be putting money on the moneyline in this one. Astralis should not only sweep Heroic, but do so with ease. I’m expecting them to be extremely chalky, but rightfully so; they are the top target on almost every slate, and this one is no different. I’d recommend a minimum of two players in every build, with the most of my 3-3 lineups having three (obviously) and matching it with either 3 players from TL or G2.

Top Stack: device ($8,600), Xyp9x ($7,400), magisk($7,600)

CS:GO Stack Target #2: Team Liquid (-900)

The one and only reason I don’t have G2 as my second favorite stack is the very slight possibly that North wins. No, I do not think they do, but for the 1% chance, I’ll take TL over G2 in cash and G2 over TL in GPPs. Team Liquid has not been in good form as of late, but should easily dismantle Chaos. TL is where I’ll look for my value plays since I’ll be prioritizing the Big 3 of Astralis. While not mentioned in my top stack, NAF ($8,400) is a fine play on DK, but I can’t see myself paying up for someone in such poor form when two of the players mentioned above are cheaper, and device is only $200 more; NAF is much more suitable on FD as his price tag of $10,500. Twistzz ($9,500) is a lock on FD and will be in every one of my lineups there.

Top Stack: EliGe ($9,000 DK / $11,600 FD), Twistzz($7,000 DK / $9,500 FD), Stewie2K ($6,600 DK / $9,900 FD)

CS:GO Stack Target #3: G2 (-400)

See above as to why they are ranked #3 and not #2. Make no mistake, G2 should beat North 2-0 or at the very least 2-1, and have the second-highest upside on the slate, but the very slight possibility of North pulling this off has me tempering expectations. They carry GPP-winning upside, and I’ll have a ton as my second highest owned stack since I’ll only be playing GPPs. For what it’s worth, North did beat G2 2-1 last time they played one another a week ago. While not mentioned in the top 3 options, all 5 players on G2 are viable should you need the savings.

Top Stack: nexa ($8,200 DK / $12,000 FD), kennyS ($7,400 DK / $11,900 FD), huNter- ($7,600 DK / $11,500 FD)

CS:GO Slate Notes

There won’t be any team I’ll have exposure to other than the three mentioned above. All three are in favorable matchups and should win 2-0 with G2 possibly winning 2-1. On FD, lock in TL at the team spot ($6,900) and Twistzz ($9,500) for value, with a one off coming from North since you need 3 teams. My favorite pay up at captain on DK is device ($12,900) and my favorite “value” (I guess you can call it that?) captains are Xyp9x ($11,100), huNter- ($11,400), and kennyS ($11,100). Getting different will be the key to taking a GPP down tomorrow, and if you can make it fit with studs from each team mentioned above, I’m not opposed to 2-2-2 builds on DK as compared to the traditional optimal of 3-3 to increase your lineup’s upside.

You can find me in the WinDaily Discord chat and on twitter @DFS_Ghost!

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