Welcome back to another exciting season of CFB! We start off the Week four action here at Win Daily with a three game slate on Thursday night.
The purpose of this article is to break down the CFB main slates both on the DFS and betting sites. The article includes my favorite plays at every position as well as honorable mentions. You can also find my favorite bets under my Drago’s Best Bets section.
QBs
Core | Pivots | Value (5.9K and under on DK) |
Austin Reed (WKU) $8,800/$12,000 | Braylon Braxton (TLSA) $8,000/$8,600 | |
EJ Warner (TEMP) $5,800/$7,500 | Nicholas Vattiato (MTSU) $8,400/$10,500 | |
Logan Smothers (JASCT) $7,100/$6,800 |
RBs
Core | Pivots | Value (4.9K and under on DK) |
Malik Jackson (JACST) $5,900/$8,700 | Davion Ervin-Poindexter (WKU) $5,800/$7,200 | Jekail Middlebrook (MTSU) $3,900/$6,800 |
Joquez Smith (TEMP) $5,100/$5,000 | Jordan Ford (TLSA) $6,000/$5,800 |
WRs
Core | Pivot | Value (4.9K and under on DK) |
Malachi Corley (WKU) $6,700/$10,000 | Dante Wright (TEMP) $5,500/$8,700 | Devan Williams (TLSA) $4,900/$7,700 |
Easton Messer (WKU) $5,600/$8,300 | Marquis Shoulders (TLSA) $6,300/$6,500 | River Helms (WKU) $4,800/$5,000 |
Amad Anderson (TEMP) $5,400/$7,500 | Jeremy Tate (MTSU) $5,200/$4,300 | Elijah Metcalf (MTSU) $4000 |
DJ England-Chisolm (MTSU) $5,700 (Both sites) | ||
Quinton Lane (JACST) $5,800/$6,800 | ||
Ife Adeyi (SHSU) $5,900/$5,300 |
Synopsis:
The QB situation for Thursday’s slate is rough. Reed is by far the best QB on the slate, and after him there is a steep decline. Normally in CFB DFS slates, we go double QBs, but this could be a slate with only one, although I would still try to mainly have two QB lineups. But there are two QBs that may fit well with Reed because of their price.
Warner is the second QB that I have listed in the “core” section because he is playing against a bad Tulsa pass defense. Passing wise, Warner has been great at throwing for 1K yards over the first four games. The only issue he has had is the lack of touchdowns. But that could easily be fixed on Thursday as Tulsa comes in allowing 2.5 passing touchdowns per game. If Smothers starts, he can be a good QB2 option. Smothers doesn’t have the best passing abilities, but his rushing ability is great. Over his three games played, he has averaged 78 rushing yards per game.
This slate is filled with solid RB choices at discounted prices. None of these RBs are high up in the CFB individual leaders, but there are a handful that have 200+ rushing yards this season. The two I listed in the “core” section are my main backs for Thursday. Jackson is the best running back on the slate, as he leads all available RBs in carries (36) and yards (376). He’s facing a Sam Houston run defense that has not been able to stop any backs this season. Smith is the riskier of the two, as in his first game as the starter, he struggled against Miami, but I do give him the slight edge over the two listed in “pivots,” as he won’t share the workload like Ford and doesn’t have a great QB on his team like Poindexter.
If you are avoiding the usual CFB double QB, then a WR should be your Superflex player. Corley is by far the best WR and the best player to pair with Reed. A sneakier play with Reed is Messer, who has been inconsistent this season but does have games with six and nine receptions. Both Temple WRs are solid options, with a slight lean to Anderson because of price. Same reason why I have Tate above Chisolm: lower price for what should be a similar workload.
Drago’s Best Bets:
- WKU -6.5
- JacState -6.5
- Temple vs Tulsa Over 55.5
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