Welcome back to another exciting season of CFB! After a solid week three slate, we are back with another action packed Saturday.
The purpose of this article is to break down the college football main slates, both on the DFS and betting sites. The article includes my favorite plays at every position as well as honorable mentions. You can also find my favorite bets under my Dragos Best Bets section.
The QBs:
Miller Moss (USC):
It’s finally Miller time during a main slate. Moss has done a great job replacing the former Heisman and number-one overall pick, Caleb Williams. Moss ranks third in passing yards per game on the slate (303.5) and 12th overall in CFB. If we had this matchup last season, I would not want any part of the USC offense against what was a stellar Wolverine defense, but this year, Michigan has struggled against the pass, giving up 234.3 yards per game. In all three of their games to start the season, the Michigan defense has given up at least 222 passing yards. Now they have Miller Moss coming to town, and the last time he took the field, he threw for 229 in 2.5 quarters against Utah State. I love this matchup because the statistics point to a good game for Moss, and USC will want to make an impression in their first Big 10 game. What better way than to beat the reigning National Champions?
Who to pair him with: Kyle Ford. Zachariah Branch. Kyron Hudson. Lake McRee.
Taylen Green (ARK):
There are two reasons I like Green this week. First, he gets a favorable matchup against Auburn, who allowed Devon Dampier from New Mexico to throw for almost 300 yards against them. The second is his rushing ability; he has 245 yards and four touchdowns with his legs. Auburn is good against the run, but they have allowed their last two opposing quarterbacks to have rushes above 10 yards. With neither being the athlete that Green is, if they give him space to run, he will torch Auburn throughout the game.
Who to pair him with: Andrew Armstrong. Tyrone Broden.
Honorable Mentions: Riley Leonard. Cade Klubnik. Blake Shapen. Garrett Nussmeier. Behren Morton. Tyler Shough. Sam Leavitt. Brendan Sorsby.
Value QBs: CJ Bailey
The RBs:
Kyle Monangai (RU):
Monangai has had a fantastic start to his season. He is second in CFB in rushing yards per game, only behind Ashton Jeanty, who might be in a league of his own this season. Rutgers had a bye last week, so the last time we saw Monangai, he was rushing for 208 yards and three touchdowns against Akron. This week, Monangai goes up against Virginia Tech. VT is one of the worst rush defenses in CFB, allowing 190.3 rushing yards (113th in CFB) and giving up 5.05 yards per carry. 5.05 yards allowed per attempt is the third most on the slate, and if there is a running back on this slate that should be able to exploit that, it’s Monangai, who ranks 4th in CFB with 8.11 yards per attempt.
Jeremiyah Love (ND):
I love me some Love this week. On DK, he is at only $5500, which is surprising given his start to the season. He has 279 yards and a touchdown in all three games. His worst DFS game this season was opening day, and he still had 91 yards and a touchdown. The price drop on DK is surprising, especially considering this opponent this week. ND plays Miami (OH), the 108th-ranked rush defense in CFB. They are giving up 182.5 rushing yards and the second most yards per carry on the slate (5.62).
Honorable Mentions: Quinshon Judkins. Devin Neal. Cam Skattebo. Bhayshul Tuten. Ja’Quinden Jackson. Tahj Brooks. Woody Marks
Value RBs (5K and under): Caden Durham. Quinten Joyner.
The WRs:
Brennan Presley (OKST):
Presley has yet to be the flashiest wide receiver in CFB, but he has had a solid start to the year. He has two games with seven receptions, with a nine-reception game sandwich in between. On top of averaging 7.7 receptions per game, he scored a receiving touchdown in each of the three games. He gets a tough matchup against Utah and the third-best passing defense in CFB. The game has a surprising total at 52.5, which means that while Utah should slow down OKST, Presley will still have opportunities to shine.
Jeremiah Smith (OSU):
Despite being involved in two blowouts in his first two games, Smith has still produced a lot in the passing game. To start the season, he has 11 receptions, 211 yards, and three touchdowns. He leads Ohio State in almost all receiving stats, including yards per reception at 19.2, which is 17th in all of CFB for players with at least ten receptions. Ohio State will have no issues with Marshall, so I am firing up Smith in all my contests.
Honorable Mentions: Kyren Lacy. Xzavier Henderson. Aaron Anderson. Kevin Concepcion. De’Zhaun Stribling.
Value Plays (4.9K and under): Jake Briningstool. Malik Rutherford. Ja’Corey Brooks.
Drago’s Best Bets:
- Ohio State -39.5 vs Marshall
- Cincinnati -3.5 vs Houston
- USC -4.5 vs Michigan
- Upset Pick: Arkansas ML vs Auburn
Make sure to start your Saturday off with Dave and Joel as they breakdown the slate live on the Win Daily Youtube page.
Make sure to hop in our Expert Discord Chat for FREE! Ivan (idrago15) will be there answering questions all day and all night! Follow Ivan on Twitter @idragol15 and be sure to be on the lookout for future articles at https://windailysports.com/ncaa-football-articles/