Its Wednesday and we’d like to welcome you to Cash with Flash Best Bets MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Tuesday was another rough day as we went 0-2 with our picks. That leaves us with a 29-27-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 16 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. More than half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Wednesday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Boston Red Sox vs Los Angeles Angels
Game three of a three-game scheduled series is set to take place at 4:07 pm and the teams have split this series. Boston holds a 3-2 season series edge.
Lefty Eduardo Rodriquez (6-4, 5.42) is set to make the start this afternoon and over his past 18 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 21 strikeouts. He’s up against an Angeles offense with a 21 percent strikeout rate, .180 ISO and wRC+ of 111 against southpaws this season.
Southpaw Andrew Heaney (4-6, 5.60) should make the start today and over his past 14 innings pitched has surrendered 15 earned runs with 20 punchouts. He’ll meet a Boston offense with a 21 percent strikeout rate, .173 ISO and wRC+ of 104 against left-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Wednesday MLB Pick: Boston -122
Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros
Game two of a three-game scheduled series takes place tonight at 8:10 pm with Houston taking game one. The Astros also hold a season series edge of 8-3.
Lefty Sean Manaea (6-5, 3.13) should make the start tonight and over his last 16.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 24 strikeouts. He’s up against a Houston offense with a 18 percent strikeout rate alongside a .160 ISO and wRC+ of 124 against left-handed pitching this season.
Righty Luis Garcia (6-5, 3.14) is the Astros probable starting pitcher for tonight and over his past 17 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’s up against an Oakland offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .173 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Wednesday MLB Pick: Oakland +120