Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Monday was a good day as we went 1-1 including the win with the underdog Red Sox. That leaves us with a 36-36-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 19 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Tuesday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees
Game one of a two-game scheduled series is set to take place tonight at 7:05 pm and Philadelphia has a 2-0 season series edge.
Aaron Nola (6-5, 4.53) is expected to start tonight and over his past 16 innings pitched has allowed 11 earned runs with 31 strikeouts. He’ll face a Yankees offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .153 ISO and wRC+ of 94 against righties this season.
Domingo German (4-5, 4.72) is the Yankees probable starting pitcher and over his past six innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with seven punchouts. He’s up against a Phillies offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .159 ISO and wRC+ of 90 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Yankees +111
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays
Game two of a scheduled, three-game series begins tonight at 7:10 pm. Baltimore won game one but Tampa Bay holds a 6-1 season series edge.
John Means (4-2, 2.28) is the Orioles probable starting pitcher tonight and has allowed seven earned runs with ten strikeouts. He’s up against a Rays offense with a 27 percent strikeout rate alongside a .146 ISO and wRC+ of 90 against southpaws this season.
Shane McClanahan (3-3, 4.05) is expected to start tonight and over his past 15.1 innings pitched has surrendered seven earned runs with 17 strikeouts. He meets a Baltimore offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .161 ISO and wRC+ of 108 against left-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Baltimore +155
Good luck today!