Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Monday was another winning day as we took down the +130 Indians but lost on the -100 Dodgers. That leaves us with a 23-13-5 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the eleven underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Tuesday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays
Game one of a three-game set begins tonight at 7:05pm with Boston holding a 3-0 season series edge.
Lefty Eduardo Rodriguez (5-4, 6.21) is set to make the start tonight and over his past 14 innings pitched has allowed 13 earned runs with 20 strikeouts. He’s up against a Red Sox offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .161 ISO and wRC+ of 100 against southpaws this season.
Righty Andrew Kitridge (5-1, 1.34) is the Rays probable starting pitcher for tonight and has allowed zero earned runs with three strikeouts over 3.1 innings of work. He’ll meet a Boston offense with a 24.5 percent strikeout rate, .193 ISO and wRC+ of 106.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Red Sox -101
Atlanta Braves vs New York Mets
Game three of a four-game series takes place tonight at 7:10pm ET with the sides splitting a doubleheader last night. New York has a 4-2 season series lead.
Righty Charlie Morton (6-3, 4.03) is the Braves probable starting pitcher and over his past 16.2 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 15 punchouts. He’s up against a Mets offense with a 23.5 percent strikeout rate, .142 ISO and wRC+ of 95 this season.
Right-hander Marcus Stroman (6-5, 2.35) will likely make the start tonight and has surrendered three earned runs with 23 strikeouts over his last 20 innings pitched. He meets a Braves offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .190 ISO and 103 wRC+ against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Mets +109
Good luck today!