Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Tuesday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
We’re sure you are wondering what an “NBA Guy” is doing writing an MLB betting column here at Win Daily?
That’s a very good question and since you asked, you can rest assured that Cash with Flash Best Bets knows exactly what we are doing. In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Friday was a rough one as we went 1-2 on the day. That leaves us with a 8-7-1 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the three underdogs we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Tuesday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds
The two sides meet for game-one of a three-game series. Tuesday marks the fourth time the teams have met this season with the Brewers holding a 2-1 season series lead.
Milwaukee boasts an away underdog record of 12-5 and has scheduled righty Adrian Houser (3-5, 3.86) out to the bump against the Reds. Over his last 14 innings pitched Houser has allowed seven earned runs with 14 strikeouts. He’s up against a Reds offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate alongside a .185 ISO and .334 wOBA this season against right handed pitching.
Cincinnati is playing .500 ball when favorites at home and will look to rightly Sonny Grey (1-4, 3.64) to slow down Milwaukee. Over his previous 16.2 innings of work Grey has surrendered six earned runs with 21 punchouts. Grey will face a Brewers offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .155 wOBA and .288 wOBA against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Brewers +127
Toronto Blue Jays vs Chicago White Sox
Game one of a three-game set begins on Tuesday and is the first meeting between the two clubs this season.
The Blue Jays are 11-10 as away underdogs and will look to southpaw Robbie Ray (3-2, 3.57) to quiet the Chicago bats. Over the past 17.2 innings pitched Ray has allowed six earned runs with 21 punchouts. He’ll meet a White Sox offense with a 23.9 percent strikeout rate, .194 ISO alongside a .357 wOBA against southpaws this season.
Chicago is 23-8 this season as home favorites and they’ll send out southpaw Carlos Rodon (5-2, 1.98) to face Toronto. Over his past 18 innings of work Rodon has whiffed 31 while allowing six earned runs. He’s up against a Blue Jays offense with a 21.3 percent strikeout rate, .169 ISO and .322 wOBA against lefties this season.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: White Sox -151
New York Yankees vs Minnesota Twins
Game one of a three-game scheduled series commences on Tuesday and this will be the first meeting of the season between the two clubs.
New York is 13-12 as an away favorite and they will look to lefty Jordan Montgomery (3-1, 3.92) to tame the Twins bats. Over his past 18 innings pitched Montgomery has allowed four earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’s up against a Minnesota offense with a 25.1 percent strikeout rate, .196 ISO and .324 wOBA against left-handed pitching this season.
The Twins are 2-2 this season as a home underdog and are expecting righty Michael Pineda (3-3, 3.40) to make the start on Tuesday. Over his previous 14.1 innings pitched Pineda has surrendered nine earned runs with 16 strikeouts. He’ll face a Yankees offense with a 25.9 percent strikeout rate alongside a .137 ISO and .304 wOBA against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Tuesday MLB Pick: Twins +107
Good luck today!