Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Thursday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Wednesday was a break-even day as we pushed on both of our plays. That leaves us with a 23-14-8 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the eleven underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Thursday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Oakland Athletics vs Texas Rangers
Game four of a four-game series is set to begin at 2:05 pm today and the Rangers have won two of the first three.
Righty Chris Bassitt (7-2, 3.40) is likely making the start today and over his previous 18.2 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’s up against a Rangers offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .154 ISO alongside of a wRC+ of 91 this season.
Lefty Kolby Allard (2-2, 2.93) is set to make the start this afternoon and over his past 16 innings pitched has allowed four earned runs with 16 strikeouts. He’ll meet an Athletics offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .182 ISO and wRC+ of 112 this season against left-handed pitching.
Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Pick: Oakland -150
Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins
Game one of a four-game series takes place tonight at 8:00pm EST and the teams are 3-3 over their season series.
Righty J.C. Mejia (1-2, 6.11) is the Indians probable starting pitcher tonight and over his past 9.2 innings pitched has allowed a dozen earned runs with seven strikeouts. He’s up against a Twins offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .184 ISO alongside a wRC+ of 104 against right-handed pitching this season.
Right-hander Jose Berrios (7-2, 3.65) is the Twins probable starting pitcher and over his previous 19 innings pitched has surrendered nine earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’ll meet an Indians offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .164 ISO and wRC+ of 87 this season against righties.
Cash with Flash Thursday MLB Pick: Indians +150
Good luck today!
