Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Friday was a rough day as we went 0-2 on our picks. That leaves us with a 41-39-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 22 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Over half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Saturday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Atlanta Braves vs Philadelphia Phillies
Game three of a four-game scheduled series takes place tonight at 6:05 pm. The series is tied at 1-1 and Philadelphia holds an 8-6 season series edge.
Drew Smyly (7-3, 4.50) should make the start tonight and over his past 16.1 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with 17 strikeouts. He’ll face a Phillies offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .161 ISO and wRC+ of 104 against lefties this season.
Vince Velasquez (3-4, 5.00) is expected to toe the rubber and over his last 13.1 innings pitched has surrendered 13 earned runs with ten strikeouts. He’s up against a Braves offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate along with a .181 ISO and wRC+ of 99 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Braves +103
Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Mets
Game two of a three-game scheduled series takes place tonight at 7:05 pm. New York won game one and has a 1-0 season series lead.
Hyun Jin Ryu (9-5, 3.32) is expected to make the start tonight and over his previous 16 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 13 strikeouts. He’s up against a Mets offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .151 ISO and wRC+ of 97 against left-handed pitching this season.
Taijuan Walker (7-3, 2.99) is the Mets probable starting pitcher tonight and over his previous 11 innings pitched has allowed nine earned runs with seven strikeouts. He’ll meet a Blue Jays offense with a 22 percent strikeout rate, .194 ISO and wRC+ of 113 this season against right-handed pitching.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Mets +120
Good luck today!
