Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Friday was a solid day as we went 2-0 with our short favorite picks. That leaves us with a 31-29-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 16 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. More than half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Saturday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians
Game three of a four-game series takes place at 6:10pm. Cleveland has a 2-0 series lead and a 7-1 season series edge over Kansas City.
Lefty Mike Minor (6-7, 5.36) is the Royals probable starting pitcher tonight and over his past 16 innings pitched has allowed 18 earned runs with nine punchouts. He’s up against a Cleveland offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .160 ISO and wRC+ of 84 against left-handed pitching this season.
Righty Cal Quantrill (0-2, 4.20) should make the start and over his last 13 innings pitched has allowed 13 earned runs with eight strikeouts. He’ll meet a Kansas City offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .143 ISO and wRC+ of 87 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Cleveland -115
New York Yankees vs Houston Astros
Game one of a three-game scheduled series takes place at 7:05pm tonight. New York won game one and has a 3-1 season series lead over Houston.
Righty Gerrit Cole (8-4, 2.91) should make the start tonight and over his past 15.1 innings pitched has allowed 11 earned runs with 18 strikeouts. He’ll meet a Houston offense with a 19 percent strikeout rate, .175 ISO and wRC+ of 119 against right-handed pitching this season.
Zach Greinke (8-2, 3.64) is set to toe the rubber and has allowed seven earned runs with 16 strikeouts over his last 20 innings pitched. He’ll face a Yankees offense with a 25 percent strikeout rate, .153 ISO and wRC+ of 96 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Astros +105
Good luck today!
