Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Saturday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Thursday was another profitable day as we hit both of our picks including a +115 underdog. That leaves us with a 20-11-4 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the nine underdogs we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Saturday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Cleveland Indians vs Pittsburgh Pirates
Game two of a scheduled three-game series is set to begin at 4:05pm today. The Pirates took game one on Friday night by a score of 10-9.
Righty Cal Quantrill (0-2, 3.11) is set to make the start today and over his previous 7.1 innings pitched has allowed six earned runs with seven strikeouts. He’ll face a Pittsburgh offense with a 22.6 percent strikeout rate, .121 ISO with a wRC+ of 83 against righties this season.
Right-handed pitcher Wil Crowe (0-4, 6.75) is the Pirates probable starting pitcher for this afternoon and has allowed 13 earned runs with a dozen strikeouts over his past 10.1 innings pitched. He’s up against a Cleveland offense with a 22.5 percent strikeout rate, .166 ISO and 91 wRC+ against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Cleveland -132
St Louis Cardinals vs Atlanta Braves
Game three of a four-game scheduled series begins at 7:05pm tonight. Atlanta has won both games of this series.
Righty Adam Wainwright (4-5, 3.95) is the Cardinals probable starting pitcher for tonight and over his past 20 innings of work has allowed seven earned runs with 16 strikeouts. He’ll face an Atlanta offense with a 24.9 percent strikeout percentage, .191 ISO and wRC+ of 104 against righties this season.
Lefty Drew Smyly (3-3, 5.63) is scheduled to make the start tonight and has allowed seven earned runs with 12 punchouts over his past 13.2 innings pitched. He’s up against a Cardinals offense with a 22.5 percent strikeout rate, .178 ISO and wRC+ of 113 against left-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Saturday MLB Pick: Cardinals +109
Good luck today!