Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Monday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Sunday was awful as we went 0-2 with our picks. That leaves us with a 35-35-11 mark over the history of this 2021 MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the 18 underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Half of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Monday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays
Game one of a three-game scheduled series is set to take place tonight at 7:07 pm. Boston holds a 5-4 season series edge.
Nick Pivetta (7-4, 4.30) should make the start tonight and over his last 15.1 innings pitched has allowed ten earned runs with 19 strikeouts. He’s up against a Toronto offense with a 21.5 percent strikeout rate alongside a .196 ISO and wRC+ of 115 against right-handed pitching this season.
Ross Stripling (3-5, 4.34) is expected to make the start tonight and over his previous 9.1 innings pitched has allowed seven earned runs with 13 punchouts. He’ll face a Boston offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .185 and wRC+ of 103 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Boston +114
Texas Rangers vs Detroit Tigers
Game one of a four-game scheduled series takes place tonight at 7:10 pm. Detroit has a season series lead of 2-1.
Kyle Gibson (6-1, 2.29) is the Rangers probable starting pitcher and has allowed six earned runs with 24 strikeouts over his past 19 innings pitched. He’s up against a Detroit offense with a 28 percent strikeout rate along with a .151 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against right-handed pitching this season.
Casey Mize (5-5, 3.59) is the Tigers probable starting pitcher and over his past 13 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 11 strikeouts. He’ll face a Rangers offense with a 24 percent strikeout rate, .151 ISO and wRC+ of 89 this season against righties.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Picks: Texas -124
Good luck today!