Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Monday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Sunday was another profitable day as we hit our underdog Oakland pick but missed the favored Mets. That leaves us with a 22-12-5 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the nine underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Monday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Cleveland Indians vs Chicago Cubs
Game one of a two-game series begins tonight at 8:05pm and Cleveland holds a 2-0 season series lead.
Righty Aaron Civale (10-2, 3.28) is set to make the start tonight and over his previous 19 innings pitched has allowed nine earned runs with 17 punchouts. He’s up against a Chicago offense with a 26 percent strikeout rate, .174 ISO alongside a wRC+ of 92 this season against righties.
Right-hander Adbert Alzolay (4-5, 4.06) is the Cubs probable starting pitcher tonight and over his 13.2 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with 17 strikeouts. He’s up against a Cleveland side with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .165 ISO and wRC+ of 89 against right-handed pitching this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Indians +120
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres
Game one of a three-game scheduled series is set for 10pm tonight with San Diego holding a 4-3 season series edge.
Lefty Julio Urias (9-2, 3.54) is scheduled to make the start tonight and over his past 16.2 innings of work has allowed six earned runs with 15 strikeouts. He’ll face a Padres offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .135 ISO alongside of a wRC+ of 90 against southpaws this season.
Righty Yu Darvish (6-2, 2.57) is the Padres probable starting pitcher tonight and has surrendered eight earned runs with 18 strikeouts over his previous 17.1 innings pitched. He’s up against a Los Angeles side with a 22 percent strikeout rate alongside a .170 ISO and wRC+ of 120 against right-handers this season.
Cash with Flash Monday MLB Pick: Dodgers -100
Good luck today!
