Phil Naessens 
Welcome to Cash with Flash Best Bets Friday MLB Betting Column. We’re excited to be here and we’ll try and write in this space as often as time allows.
Thursday saw a slight profit as we won with the favored Athletics but pushed on the underdog Indians. That leaves us with a 24-14-9 mark over the history of this MLB Betting column.
We’re ahead of the game because of the eleven underdogs and several short favorites we hit. Nearly 50 percent of our wins were from wagering on underdogs and without them we’d be trending in the wrong direction. That’s something we don’t want to do.
The most important thing to remember when betting on baseball is finding underdogs as it takes a 52.4 percent success rate at -110 just to break even. This column will offer a mixture of mid to short favorites (-110 to -160) as well as underdogs at +200 and below.
We’re also looking at F5 inning wagers in order to eliminate bullpens, the church league softball extra-inning, man on second base and seven-inning doubleheader rules MLB has thrust upon us.
Friday MLB Best Bets!
Unless otherwise indicated, all wagers are First Five Innings Wagers (F5).
In order to arrive at our conclusions, we’ll be using the principles found in Betting Baseball 101
Cleveland Indians vs Minnesota Twins
Game one of a scheduled four-game series is set to take place at 8:10pm. Cleveland won game one of this series and has a 4-3 edge in their season series.
Righty Cal Quantrill (0-2, 2.74) is set to take the hill tonight and over his previous 11 innings of work has allowed one earned run with eight punchouts. He’ll face a Minnesota offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .181 ISO and wRC+ of 103 this season against right-handed pitching.
Lefty Danny Coulombe (0-0, 0.00) is making his first start of the season tonight and is facing a Cleveland offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .153 ISO and wRC+ of 85 against southpaws this season.
Cash with Flash Friday MLB Pick: Cleveland +111
Washington Nationals vs Miami Marlins
Game two of a scheduled four-game series begins tonight at 7:10pm and Washington won game one, giving them a 4-0 season series lead.
Lefty Jon Lester (1-2, 3.96) is expected to toe the rubber tonight and over his previous 15 innings pitched has allowed five earned runs with ten strikeouts. He’s up against a Miami offense with a 29 percent strikeout rate, .141 ISO and wRC+ of 84 against left-handed pitching this season.
Righty Pablo Lopez (3-4, 2.86) will likely toe the rubber tonight and has surrendered six earned runs with 17 strikeouts over his last 18 innings pitched. He’ll meet a Nationals offense with a 23 percent strikeout rate, .147 ISO and wRC+ of 93 against righties this season.
Cash with Flash Friday MLB Pick : Washington +130
Good luck today!
