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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/14


We are back with Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/14 for a six-game slate to breakdown. First look at this slate it looks to me DraftKings was generous on pricing specifically the high-priced players. They have priced up the cheaper plays leaving us thirsty for value unless other news breaks. Having slate breaking news is always possible In the NBA nowadays which makes joining the WinDaily staff in Discord Chat rooms important. I will be attacking the Wolves and Raptors defenses for a second straight night. Both of those games are projected for over 232-point totals. The largest projected total on the slate is New Orleans vs LA Clippers at 236 ½. Let’s dive into this fun slate with some massive projected totals!

In this article, I will be breaking down my two-favorite plays at each position for this slate. I will be using DraftKings pricing.


Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/14

Point Guard


Trae Young – ($9,300)

This is one of the players I was referring to with the soft pricing. Today’s price will be the cheapest young has been in over a month. It isn’t a bad matchup either as Cleveland has allowed the second-most fantasy points to point guards over the last ten games. The Cavs also rank eighth-worst in team defensive rating. In his most recent game against Cleveland Young went for 56 fantasy points. There is over 60 fantasy point upside here for the Atlanta leader in usage.


Tomas Satoransky – ($3,200)

It was announced last night that Satoransky will be starting in place of Coby White. A great matchup awaits Satoransky against a banged-up Toronto team that ranks fourth-worst in team defense over the last five games. The Raptors have given up the fourth-most fantasy points to point guards on the season. Drawing the start should allow Satoransky to pay off this price as he has been a near fantasy point per minute player this season.


Shooting Guard

Paul George – ($8,100)
Again, we have another scenario of soft pricing as George is the lowest salary, he has been in two months. The matchup is decent here as well with New Orleans allowing the fifth-most fantasy point to shooting guards in the past five games. They are also the third-worst team in the league in defensive rating. These two squads have played earlier this season and George went for 46 fantasy points. This is a bargain price for a star playing in the highest total game of the slate.


Kevin Porter Jr. – ($5,000)

Although Oladipo will be back tons of minutes and usage should still be available for Porter Jr. The list of injuries for Houston is lengthy and Porter Jr has played 29 minutes or more in both games. We did see Oladipo and Porter play together against Sacramento and Porter still went for 42 fantasy points. His average usage rate in his two games is 26%. Boston has been the third-worst team in defensive rating over the last ten as well.


Small Forward

Jimmy Butler – ($9,400)
Jimmy has been on a tear from a fantasy perspective lately. He has scored at least 50 fantasy points in five straight games now. One of those games was against the Magic in which he scored 62.5 fantasy points. His usage has been up recently seeing an average usage above 30% in the past seven games. Butler has scored 43 fantasy points or more in 13 of his last 15 games. He should have a safe floor without Adebayo and facing this banged-up Magic squad.


Jake Layman – ($3,600)
The Wolves have been playing a ten-man rotation with all these players injured or out. Due to that Layman has been starting and playing 25 minutes or more in three of the last four. Portland ranks second-worst in defensive rating on the season. I am also a fan of Juancho Hernangomez at minimum price. He played 24 minutes last night and is averaging 22 fantasy points against Portland in two games. These are my favorite cheap options if we don’t get safer value throughout the day.


Power Forward


Lauri Markkanen – ($6,200)

Last game Markkanen saw 33 minutes in his second game returning from an extended absence. Any minute’s restriction should be shaken and he already scored over 30 fantasy points in both games since he returned. The Raptors have given up the most fantasy points to power forwards this season. They also have been the fourth-worst defensive team over the past five games. His usage rate was encouraging last game as well seeing a 26.4% usage which led the team.


Carmelo Anthony – ($5,100)
Minnesota had zero answers for Melo last night allowing him to erupt for 44 fantasy points. I am sure Melo is happy he draws that same matchup for the second night in a row. In the last five games, he has scored 25 or more fantasy points in four. In those same games, his usage average is 27%. The Wolves rank top five in pace and bottom five in defensive rating over the past ten games. Portland just put up 125 against Minnesota last night and shouldn’t struggle to do it again.


Center


Karl-Anthony Towns – ($9,100)

Another situation of a player being the lowest price he has been in over two months. We saw Towns explode for 34 real points and over 60 fantasy points last night against the same Portland team he plays tonight. In the two games back from the break Towns is averaging a 32% usage rate, 4% higher than his season average. This price is far too cheap knowing Towns is facing the second-worst defensive team.


Aron Baynes – ($4,700)
Chicago announced they would start Thadeus Young over Wendell Carter tonight. That would be a huge size advantage for Baynes and the Raptors. The Bulls have already given up the second-most fantasy points to centers on the season. An opportunity should be available for Baynes with the same three starters remaining out for Toronto. This is a tournament play only, I think Nance could be another cheaper center option. I will most likely be spending up at the center unless we get other news.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/14


That will wrap up this Sunday’s six-game edition of NBA GPP Picks 3/14. This is shaping up to be a fun six-game slate with fast paces and high totals. We don’t have a ton of injury news currently but that can change in the blink of an eye. I can’t express how important Discord Chat is for NBA news each day. My favorite games, in general, will be Wolves vs Blazers, Clippers vs Pelicans, and Raptors vs Bulls. Enjoy what is left of your weekend and good luck with your NBA lineups!

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