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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/13


Tonight, we have a seven-game slate to breakdown for Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/13. Three Toronto starters will remain out for this game as notable injuries. We could potentially see Russell Westbrook as a rest candidate for tonight. Another note is that Caris LeVert is expected to make his return after he had a cancerous mass was removed. To open the day, we don’t have a ton of safe value but that can always change during the day. That is the reason it is important to check out the Discord Chat to stay updated with news around the league. One game to get exposure to is Sacramento vs Atlanta as that game has opened at a 240 total.

In this article, I will be breaking down my two-favorite plays at each position for this slate. I will be using DraftKings pricing.

Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/13


Point Guard

Trae Young – ($9,800)
This game is projected as the highest total opening at 240 points. The Kings still rank as the worst defensive team in the NBA. He constantly sees usage as high as the other stars on this slate with around $1,000 salary relief. Sacramento has allowed the third-most three-pointers made to point guards which makes Young even more interesting. He has seen 35 minutes in 12 of his last 15 games and the spread here is only 3 ½ so this game should be close.


Jrue Holiday – ($6,500)

Holiday missed an extended period for Covid and has slowly worked his way into action. The lone game after the break saw Holiday record 25 minutes a big reason may have been the blowout. I expect his minutes to at least be around 30 which should be enough at the cheapest we have seen Holiday. His matchup is favorable against the fastest-paced team in the NBA and they’ve allowed the sixth-most fantasy points to point guards.

I would not talk you off either of the top three priced point guards either.


Shooting Guard

Anthony Edwards – ($6,500)
The absence of Beasley has benefited Edwards as he has shot the ball twenty times in five straight games. His lowest usage rate in the past three games was 31%. He has only recorded under 30 minutes one time in the last 15 games and is blowout-proof. The matchup is favorable against Portland who ranks second-worst in team defense this season. This is a strong play in my eyes especially with the Wolves being thin at guard.


Gary Trent Jr. – ($5,400)
Playing the Wolves is a great pace-up spot for Portland and Minnesota has given up the second-most fantasy points to shooting guards in the last ten. The game is extremely interesting with its 233-point total. Trent has shot 16 times in six of his last eight games. We know Trent sees big minutes without McCollum and shoots tons of threes. It isn’t hard to get hot against the Wolves and Trent is at his lowest salary in over a month.


Small Forward


Norman Powell – ($7,300)
In the past three games with the Raptors being shorthanded Powell has led them in usage. His lowest minute total in those games is 37 and his lowest fantasy output was 39. When VanVleet, Anunoby, and Siakam are off the floor Powell sees a usage increase of 5%. That brings his total usage to 29%. The Hornets are giving up the most fantasy points to shooting guards in the past ten games.


Deni Avdija – ($4,000)
With Davis Bertans exiting last night’s game and not returning I assume he will be out tonight. Deni had already been averaging 25 minutes in the past four games and Bertans out should solidify those minutes. This game should be a track meet with Washington being the fastest team and Milwaukee being the fifth fastest. The Bucks also have given up the fifth-most fantasy points to small forwards.


Power Forward


Gordon Hayward – ($7,200)
This is an amazing spot for Hayward tonight. Over the past five games, Toronto has handily been the worst-rated team defensively. A big part of that is missing three starters over the past several games. If we look at those same five games, we see Toronto giving up the second-most fantasy points to small forwards over that span. Although Charlotte is getting healthy Hayward hasn’t seen an impact on his minutes playing 38 last game.


Robert Covington – ($5,600)
In the past five games, Covington is averaging over 37 minutes per game. In four of those games, he went for 27 fantasy points or more. An extremely great matchup awaits Covington facing his former team in Minnesota. I like his steal upside facing this young and banged up Wolves squad. I do think it is interesting to note that Covington has shot 12% better from three on the road this year. The massive minutes against this Wolves squad screams upside for Covington and the other Blazers starters.


Center

Clint Capela – ($7,500)
Given the matchup, I think this price is too low for Capela. He is playing the worst defensive team in the league who is also in the top ten in pace. Capela has been consistent scoring 38 or more fantasy points in nine of his past eleven games. In ten of his last twelve Capela has recorded a double-double and this is by far his best matchup as of late. Another piece of the highest total on the slate interests me at a reasonable price.


Aron Baynes – ($4,500)
Due to the absence of Siakam and others’ Baynes has played 29 and 30 minutes in the past two games. In both of those games, he went for 30 or more fantasy points. Charlotte typically plays with two big men at the same time which should be more reason for Baynes to get minutes. The Hornets have given up the fifth-most fantasy points to centers in the previous five games.

Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 3/13


This looks like a fantastic seven-game slate tonight for NBA GPP Picks 3/13 with some massive totals. Join the WinDaily staff and me in Discord to follow all news including a potential rest day for Westbrook. It is a star-filled slate with several mid-priced players that stand out. That should make for several routes to construct your lineups. I appreciate you checking out my article and hope it helps you win some cash. Jump over into the MMA tab and check out my article for today’s fight card over there. I will be in Discord most of the day Saturday between NBA and MMA I look forward to seeing you there!

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