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Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 2/13
Today we will be breaking down a short four-game slate for Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 2/13. Victor Oladipo, Christian Wood, and DeAndre Jordan have been ruled out already. Mitchell Robinson picked up a hand injury last night and never returned, so his status is in serious question. With a smaller slate, plenty of exposure will go towards the Nets vs Warriors and Pacers vs Hawks. Then of course with Oladipo out it will probably be another John wall chalk night.
I will be using DraftKings pricing in my article where James Harden holds the highest salary at $10,400. Kevin Durant will be back for tonight’s game facing his former squad and with Jordan out may play tons of center against Draymond.
For my article today I will talk about my favorite DFS play at each position. For a short slate such as tonight, I will mention some game stack scenarios, as well as my favorite one, offs with high ceilings for GPP’s. Let’s stop wasting time and get into today’s selections for NBA GPP Picks 2/13.
Point Guard
Donovan Mitchell – ($8,100)
Since Oladipo is already ruled out I think Mitchell is an extremely solid pivot off of Wall. A four-game slate like this could see Wall’s ownership through the roof even though he hasn’t shown much of a ceiling lately even with Dipo off the court. A mediocre game last night for Mitchell should keep his ownership in check tonight. As long as Mike Conley is ruled out again, Mitchell will start at point guard and increases his assist numbers by 5.5% when that happens. Since he is starting at point guard he shouldn’t see Jimmy Butler’s defense which makes that 32% usage rate and above 30% assist rate a beautiful thing. Without Conley, Mitchell has shown two ceiling games of at least 56 fantasy points, and if his ownership is less than Wall’s It’s tough to argue this pivot.
Shooting Guard
Malcolm Brogdon – ($7,500)
Brogdon has struggled lately from a DFS perspective but If he is going to have a ceiling game this is it. Atlanta has allowed the second-most fantasy points to point guards and shooting guards over the past ten games along with ranking 22nd in defensive rating. If we tack on Brogdon’s team-leading 28% usage rate that should bring a recipe to success. Atlanta just got torched last night allowing the spurs 110 points in just three quarters before the starters were pulled. This game should be tight as the spread opened at just 1.5. Minutes should be safe for Brogdon with a close spread and I just can’t look away from the floor he provides with this juicy matchup.
Small Forward
Danuel House Jr. – ($4,200)
Both House Jr and Sterling Brown are in play for value options for me. I just prefer House and his 13 shots per game recently. He has gone four straight games with double-digit shot attempts with at least seven three-pointers attempted in those games. The minutes have been there recently as well as House has played 30 minutes in three straight games for Houston. With Oladipo off the floor, House is averaging .85 fantasy points per minute. That is a pretty solid number for a player at this price who should see 30 minutes again. I want to spend way down at small forward in general today and I think these two rockets are a good play to look at. Let’s not forget PJ Tucker may sit too which would just make these two plays even better.
Power Forward
Julius Randle – ($8,700)
I become a fan of Randle when he is below 9K because it leaves more of a ceiling. Julius has been priced below 9K just once in his last 15 games and recorded 54 fantasy points in that game. We look at his recent games and he has scored at minimum 43 fantasy points in six of his last seven games. Randle will also benefit if Pj Tucker is out because whoever would start certainly be a downgrade defensively. A massive pace up spot for Randle facing Houston who ranks fourth fastest in the last ten games. Everything is lining up for Randle to have a big game here with a reduced salary.
Center
Draymond Green – ($6,700)
It has been five straight games now that Draymond has recorded double-digit assist numbers. He has scored at least 36 fantasy points in four of those five games. In three of Golden States’ last four games, Draymond has played at least 36 minutes. That should be plenty in this amazing matchup against Brooklyn. The Nets rank fourth-worst defensively and ninth fastest over the past ten games. DeAndre Jordan will be out for Brooklyn as well so rim protection may be an issue for them. A fast pace high-scoring game is expected here and a double-double is without a doubt a possibility here for Draymond but I’m going to go on a limb and say he gets his first triple-double of the season tonight!
Game Stacks
Nets vs Warriors
Since Draymond has been starting at the center position I won’t be surprised if Kevin Durant starts at center for Brooklyn. This game should be a massive total with Brooklyn ranking fourth-worst in defensive rating and Golden State being the second fastest team in the league. My stack here would be Steph, Draymond, and Kyrie which still leaves you $4,800 per player. I do like Durant but I expect him to be chalky in his return to Golden State.
Pacers vs Hawks
This is a very interesting game to me because you can stack it several different ways in my opinion. On the Pacers side, it is all about preference as Brogdon and Sabonis are both viable options. I want to avoid Capela rim protection so I will roll Brogdon. Jeremy Lamb has a nice price tag of just over 5K and has shown a ceiling of 35 after his late start to the season. The last piece of this stack is Clint Capela as his ownership should be low. In his past two games, he played just 21 minutes one due to the large blowout against San Antonio and the other due to foul trouble facing Porzingis. People will look at that and shy away from Capela. He is a double-double machine when he sees his usual 30 minutes and now that his price has come back to earth, he is in play again. A stack of Brogdon, Lamb, and Capela would let you do whatever you want with the rest of your lineup with just under 6K remaining.
Monkey Knife Fight
Rockets vs Knicks
John Wall – 21.5 points – More – Wall has scored at least 21 real points in three of his last four. Now he has no Wood or Oladipo here facing the Knicks. His usage rate is nearly 35% without those two on the floor so it’s tough to argue the lower here. Derrick Rose may guard Wall for a bit tonight as well which Is never a bad thing.
Julius Randle – 20.5 points – More – This number seems extremely low with him being in a massive pace up spot. In the last ten games, Houston has been the fourth fastest team. Randle has scored at least 21 real points in six of his last seven games as well.
Closing Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 2/13
We should have a majority of the news we need to build lineups well before lock. Granted something crazy happens which isn’t out of the question these days. A few teams are on the second leg of a back to back (Jazz, Knicks, and Hawks) but I don’t have any rest candidates labeled. Our Discord Chat room is a fantastic place to get all breaking news updates and how to adjust accordingly. You can find other Win Daily staff members and I in there to keep you updated and answer your questions. Remember to check out our projection models as well to check the tops point per dollar plays for this slate.
If you’re into UFC jump in our MMA section and read my article over there for tonight’s Welterweight Championship main event! Thanks for taking the time to read Bombcarlo’s NBA GPP Picks 2/13 article and I hope it helps you out. Good luck and go get one of those screenshot wins!
