Investment: $1,641 Projection: $1,678.44
My projection for profit has decreased from last week, from +343.62 to +37.44 on Draft Kings. I am in 4th place in both higher buy-in leagues. Just a reminder, how I calculate being overweight and underweight on players is 1/12 = 8.33%. 12 is the number of teams that participate in best ball drafts.
Winners:
Curtis Samuel (15%) & Sam Howell (11%) – Samuel is about even with Terry McLaurin in fantasy points and on average was being drafted about 10 rounds later. Washington has been in some shootouts and Howell has proven he can sling it. With an aggressive OC calling plays I see this duo continuing to produce, and perhaps even improving, as the season continues.
Jamarr Chase (13%)– the 7-Eleven WR set a career-high in receptions and TDs this past week as it seems Cincinnati might have snapped out of their flunk. Key word might. Let’s keep in mind this was against the Arizona Swiss cheese defense. Chase started the season with two single-digit fantasy points weeks. But he rewarded owners who stayed patient with the second-largest fantasy output for a WR so far this season.
Brock Purdy (13%) & George Kittle (7%) – my 3rd highest-owned QB came up big in a big game against the league’s top-rated defense. Still undefeated in the regular season he oozes coolness as he consistently remains calm in the pocket and never seems to panic. I’m unsure whether to call Kittle a win or a loss for my portfolio as I am slightly underweight on him against the field. In 5 weeks, he has put up 3 stinkers, and 1 great and good game. San Fran has a plethora of weapons and only CMC will be a consistent weekly producer.
Tyjae Spears (13%) – this electric RB is continuing to produce as the Titans have schemed more ways to get the ball in his hands. He has received at least 4 targets in the last 3 games. If anything were to happen to Derrick Henry (2%), or if the Titans fall out of the playoff picture and decide to trade King Henry, expect this speedy RB to propel fantasy teams. He will be a popular pickup this week if he is still available in season long leagues.
Breece Hall (12%) – the training wheels are off ladies and gentlemen. As reported early last week Jets coach Robert Saleh announced they will no longer monitor Breece’s snaps/touches. As someone who has watched Dalvin Cook (1%) all season long, it is refreshing to know that Coach Saleh is not legally blind. Breece will be the engine of the Jets offense moving forward. He is second in yards per rush to electric rookie Devon Achane. Playing great defense and running Breece Hall will put Zach Wilson and the Jets in the best position to win games for the rest of the season.
Deandre Hopkins (10%) – he is good at catching footballs. Just give him the damn ball. Hopkins has produced terrific fantasy seasons with mediocre QB talent. Calling Tannehill mediocre is a compliment. If the Titans pass blocking can give Tanny just a little more time to throw, Hopkins will continue to produce as he did last week with 8 catches for 140 yards.
Travis Etienne (9%) – I was scratching my head all summer as best ballers claimed Tank Bigsby (1%) would eat into Etienne’s playing time. Um, did anyone see Etienne play football last season? Down the stretch, he was being relied on with multiple 20+ carry weeks. He is second in the NFL with 95 carries and has drawn 21 targets over the first 5 weeks. If we redid the draft, I would confidently select him in the 2nd/3rd round.
Tyreek & Tua (8%) – I wouldn’t necessarily claim this as a smashing win but knowing that I am at least even on the field with this top stack makes me feel OK. Miami’s offense is #1 in almost every category/metric. With Jefferson being placed on IR and Kelce not having a Kelce-like season, this stack is neck and neck with the Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs stack as tops in the league.
Losers:
Rhamondre Stevenson (16%) & Mac Jones (12%) – the NE offense has put up 8 points in the last 10 quarters of football. And 2 of those points were from their defense. For the second straight week Mac Jones has gotten benched, although Coach Belicheck has said he remains the starter. Bringing in OC Bill O’Brien was supposed to improve this anemic offense, but somehow it has gotten worse. The seat under Coach Belicheck is getting extremely warm, but with the amount of success he has had in New England, Kraft will ultimately let him ride out the rest of this season. Mac hasn’t killed me on the teams I drafted him very late as my QB3, but a third round Stevenson is hurting me immensely.
Antonio Gibson (16%) – Gibson had a season high 6 carries in Week 4 and bottomed out with 0 carries in Week 5. Against Chicago, he mainly lined up out wide at WR and turned 6 targets into 4 catches with 64 yards. It will be interesting to see how OC Bieniemy will utilize him because Gibson has shown time and time again that he is a playmaker. If he can get a handle on his fumbles, maybe the coaching staff will trust him with more backfield work.
DJ Moore (4%)– remember when I said earlier that Chase had the second largest fantasy output for a WR this season? DJ Moore turned 10 targets into 8 catches for 230 yards with 3 TDs. If the Boner police are looking for me, I demand to see a warrant!
Deandre Swift (3%) – Swift has taken over this Philly backfield through the first 5 weeks. Training camp reports were all over the place regarding how the Eagles would utilize their backfield. For one week this summer, all three RBs were mentioned as potential starters. Unfortunately, my Rashard Penny (11%) shares look useless unless a Swift injury takes place. And I’m referring to Deandre, not Taylor. It’s weird that I must mention that in an NFL article.
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