Bermuda Championship: Initial Picks
We head over to Bermuda this week where 132 golfers will be teeing off at a another resort course which can only mean one thing: low scores. This course is very short by PGA Tour standards so OTT metrics will be less important and APP metrics will be emphasized. Join us on the Tuesday night Livestream, but if you miss it, subscribe and listen on our podcast and YouTube channel! Let’s get to the Bermuda Championship: Initial Picks.
Will Zalatoris (10900) – The secret is out on this rising star. If recent form is any indication (3 of his last 4 were Top 10 finishes), Zalatoris will finish Top 10 and has a great chance for the top spot.
Doc Redman (10400) – If you’re looking for ball striking, Doc Redman is your man. His form hasn’t been great and includes a missed cut at the Shriners, but I expect the ball striking to be on and I expect him to be in the mix the entire weekend.
Cameron Tringale (9200) – Perhaps my biases are creeping in here as I have always been a Tringale Truther, but I will definitely be overweight on Tringale this week. He’s relatively short OTT which won’t hurt him here and his APP is usually his signature strength. Tringale shaping up to be a great play (see what I did there)?
Stewart Cink (7900) – Cink won at the Safeway and then followed that up with a solid 12th place finish at Sanderson and an underwhelming 64th at the Shriners. An underrated golfer that should prove to be consistent across the four days of the tournament and has some finishing point upside.
Wesley Bryan (7800) – He’s great on APP and his poor OTT game shouldn’t hurt him here. Hasn’t played a ton lately but did finish 12th at the Sanderson (had a MC before that). Solid value at this price.
Russell Knox (7600) – Five years ago you a guy like Knox would have been in the Top 5-10 in terms of pricing because his game was so suited for these shorter courses. Fast forward to 2020 and what we have is a very inconsistent golfer who has recently show flashes of his old self (9th at Safeway). I think his price is just right here to make a play on him, but exercise caution with the number of shares.
Doug Ghim (7100) – Actually been on this guy in the last few tournaments he’s played. I got burned once but he was in the Top 25 in the other two and exceeded his value. In his last four tournaments Ghim has picked up strokes in almost all categories and has picked up almost three strokes on APP each of his last three tournaments. Sneaky play at this price.
Kyle Stanley (7100) – Risky play considering how bad he was the last time out at the Shriners, but Stanley is normally a very good ball striker and if he can somehow get the putter going, he can really come through for you. Don’t go crazy with the ownership here, but he’s worth a look.
Rob Oppenheim (7000) – Usually not great OTT, but again, not as important in Bermuda. His APP game has been on point as of late and he’s not bad with the short game either.
Hank Lebioda (6800) – Hammerin’ Hank has made 3 of his last 4 cuts and finished 3rd at Bermuda last year. We get a low end guy with good course history and good enough recent history.
Ryan Armour (6600) – Hasn’t been good lately (hence the price point), but Armour proved he had upside after the re-start with a couple of very impressive finishing positions. Add to that he’s a relatively short hitter who won’t be intimidated by this short course and the fact that he finished 8th here last year, and we have found some potential value.