Bermuda Championship DFS Projections
This week the tour heads to Bermuda, an island closest to North Carolina for their weekly PGA tournament. Reports are that it may get a bit windy, especially Saturday and Sunday. Those golfers with good stinger shots should say thank you to it’s inventor, Mr. Tiger Woods. We’ll get to my Bermuda Championship DFS Projections, but first…
Last week my top pick was Jon Rahm and I mentioned in my report I would be overweight on him. I also had Kevin Kisner, Ryan Palmer, Sebastian Munoz and Patrick Reed, my out in left field play was Takumi Kanaya, who for 6,300 in salary scored 83.5 DK points for extremely good value. I was lamenting the fact that if Kisner had moved up a couple of spots to top 5, and if Rahm had won, instead of coming in 2nd, I would have increased my earnings into the thousands. Then I watched as the DraftKings NFL Millionaire Maker was being won by a guy that had 6 seconds left to win a million, and a missed kick sent it into overtime, and he ended up losing 900,000 dollars for a missed kick, suddenly I felt much better, even though I shouldn’t have. A missed kick, a missed 2 foot gimme putt, they all can have “life changing money” consequences, it’s why I love DFS golf. Let’s get to the final projections for The Bermuda Championship so we all can go after that life changing money!
Final Projections for The Bermuda Championship
The most owned golfer by a whopping amount is actually a Korn Ferry pro trying to gain his tour card, Will Zalatoris is 31%+ and is projected to be at around 34% by lock. He is very good with great metrics, even so, that means a total fade for me at that ownership, if he doesn’t win, I just gained leverage on 1/3 of the field by not rostering him. Doc Redman is 22.3%, he’s second and almost 10% less owned than Will. Peter Malnati, an industry darling, is 21%. Justin Suh is 19%, Adam Schenk is 18%, Denny “putts” McCarthy is 17.7%, Kristoffer Ventura is 17%, Harold Varner lll at 16.9% ownership, Stewart Cink is 15.6%, Wesley Bryan is 15.2%, Sepp Straka is 13.7%, Emiliano Grillo is 13.6%, Henrik Norlander is 13%, Cameron Tringale, who I like is 12.7%, Aaron Wise is 12.6%, Pat Perez is 11.4%, Henrik Stenson is 11.2%, Charley Hoffman is 10.9%.
Golfers under 10% ownership:
Max Homa and Tyler McCumber are 9.8%, Scott Piercy is 9.4%, Luke List is 9.2%, Russell Knox is 9.1%, Beau Hossler is 8.7%, Scott Stallings and Doug Ghim, a Sia favorite, are 8.4%, Jason Dufner is 8%, Anirban Lahiri is 7.9%, Kyle Stanley is 7.7%, Maverick McNealy is 7%, Chesson Hadley and Will Gordon are 6.9%, Rasmus Hojgaard, a phenom from Europe, is 6.8%, Tom Lewis is 6.5%, Patrick Rodgers is 6.3%, Wyndham Clark is 6%, Jhonattan Vegas is 5.9%, Rob Oppenheim is 5.4%, Hank Lebioda and Matt Jones are 5.2%, Chase Seiffert is 5.1%, and a dark horse.
Golfers under 5% ownership:
Hudson Swafford is 4.9%, Michael Gligic is 4.4%, Troy Merritt is 4.3%, all the touts who said wait till Troy plays on Bermuda grass….he’s playing IN Bermuda this week, Brice Garnett is 4.2%, Brian Stuard is 3.7%, Kramer Hickok, David Hearn and Branden Grace are 3.5%, Andrew Putnam and Ollie Schniederjans are 3.3%, Vaughn Taylor, Chris Baker, and Ben Martin are 3% owned, Joseph Bramlett, Bo Hoag and Danny Willett are 2.9%, Rafa Cabrera Bello is 2.8%, Ryan Armour and Vincent Whaley are 2.6%, Josh Teater is 2.5%, Padraig Harrington is 2.4%, Brandon Hagy is 2.2%, Aaron Baddeley and Nick Watney are 2.1%. Kelly Kraft is 2%
Golfers under 2% ownership:
Kiradech Aphibarnrat and Bronson Burgoon are 1.9%, Camilo Villegas, Wes Roach, Seamus Power and Roger Sloan are 1.8% owned, Fabian Gómez is 1.6%, Brian Gay, Sang Moon Bae and Mark Anderson are 1.3% owned, K.H.Lee and Scott Harrington are 1.1% owned.
All other golfers are under 1% owned at the time of this report including Bill Haas who is owned by less than 1/10th of 1%, if your looking for that grand slam! (I probably won’t risk it)
Picks for The Bermuda Championship:
I really liked Will Zalatoris until his ownership % went tilt. At his salary and ownership, he MUST win to get you value, if Grillo could putt straight I’d pick him because he plays well in high gusting winds, so my first high priced pick is Doc Redman for his stats relative to his recent play and also that his irons are the best part of his game. I’ll follow up with Charlie Hoffman who can play lights out in a breeze.
I also like Peter Malnati although I’m not thrilled with his ownership, he gained 4.7 and 6.2 strokes on approach the last 2 times he played on Bermuda, he’s definitely playing on it this week.
For value I’ll go with Scott Stallings, he has the best stinger shot of anyone playing this week and he can gain strokes with just that one shot.
On the low end I’m playing Hadley, Garnett and McCumber in rotation on my teams, I won’t be using them as a core.
My out in left play this week is Camilo Villegas, 6400 salary, no one is on him, 1.8% ownership, he gained 7.3 strokes at the Sanderson Farms tourney and Bermuda is his best putting surface, this is a risky play that I feel will make the cut, and at that price and ownership anything after that is pure gravy.
I’ll be in the Discord Channel after this report is published to answer any questions on ownership, roster building, and player on player analysis.
Please review the writers reports on Win Daily Sports to gain additional perspective, and join in the live stream on Tuesdays at 8:00 EST for Michael, Sia and Joel’s intel on the upcoming tournament, guys this info is solid gold and speaking of gold, rather platinum, don’t forget Sia’s world renown SECRET WEAPON (cue star wars theme music) that will be unleashed on The Discord Channel later tonight! Do not miss it !
Thanks so much for reviewing this Bermuda Championship DFS Projections report, we appreciate it, and as always, I hope to be with you, in the money.