Before we get to our AT&T Pebble Beach Final Ownership Projections… Last week could be summed up in one word. Surprises. Brooks Koepka, Jordan Spieth, DJ, and the 43 year old finder of the fountain of youth, Tom Brady. Koepka had missed 3 cuts in a row, badly, he had fired his swing coach, and mentioned in a post tourney interview that he had personally visited deep dark places in his mind, (please do not elaborate Brooks). He then went out and holed out 17 for an eagle, while everyone else was busy trying to give the tourney away.
Jordan Spieth still had problems with his driver, but then on Saturday he shot a 61 with scrambling and holing putts from everywhere on the green. Tom Brady threw three touchdown passes and was named MVP, again, for dismantling the KC defense. The only touchdown the Chiefs had was when their plane landed safely. It was a week full of surprises. I’ll offer this exercise to allow you to feel like the men above do. Walk up to your wife or significant other, ask them what the difference is between Iron Man and Iron Woman, when they ask what is the difference, simply say, “the first is a super hero, the second is a simple command.” You will be “surprised” at their reaction. So you won’t be surprised on who the chalky golfers are, let’s get to it and reveal the AT&T Pebble Beach Final Ownership Projections.
Leading by a significant margin this week is Patrick Cantlay at 29%+, since DJ withdrew there has been a steady move to Cantlay, possibly due to the narrative that he is from Long Beach, and Pebble Beach is one of his favorites. Daniel Berger is 2nd at 24.9%, almost 5% less than Cantlay. Will Zalatoris is next at 20.3%, Jason Day is 18.6%, I was on him, I’ll now take an underweight position due to ownership.
Cameron Davis follows him at 17.3%, Francesco Molinari is 17.9%, Sam Burns is 16.8%, he is a popular play who I will not be on this week. Kevin Streelman is 16%, I have him, a solid play for now, much less if he hits 19-20% by lock. Henrik Norlander is 14.9%, yes for me, Peter Malnati is 14.5%, his hot streak has a lot to do with putting, which means a sprinkle of shares for me. Max Homa is 14%, one of Joel’s favorites, I’m on him too. Cameron Tringale, Jordan Spieth, and Paul Casey are tied at 13.2%, I like Tringale and Casey. Matt Jones and Joel Dahmen are knotted up at 13%, Brian Harman is 12.9%, Harold Varner lll is 12.5%, Michael Thompson is 12.1%, Si Woo Kim is 11.4%, Doug Ghim is 11.2%, I’ll have shares of him, Matthew NeSmith is 10.9%.
Golfers Under 10% Ownership:
Kyle Stanley is 9.9%, Alex Noren and Patton Kizzire are 9.4%, Scott Stallings and James Hahn are 9%, Chris Kirk, Brendan Steele and Stewart Cink are all square at 8.7%, Rory Sabbatini, (the Rory that plays decent golf) is 8.4%, Scott Piercy and Bo Hoag are together at 7.9%, Mark Hubbard and Andrew Putnam are both 6.9%, I will own shares of Putnam. Harry (“I’m just big boned” )Higgs, Charley Hoffman and Nick Taylor, (last years winner) are tied at 6.2%, Phil Mickelson is 5.9%, Rickie Fowler is 5.8%, Maverick McNealy and Branden Grace are the same, 5.5%, Jim Furyk, Adam Long, and Russell Knox are the same at 5.4%.
Golfers Under 5% Ownership:
Chez Reavie is 4.2% owned. Adam Schenk, who is a good value, (I’ll have him) is at 3.9%, Brandt Snedeker is 3.8%, Patrick Rodgers and Rafa Cabrera Bello are tied at 3.7%, Pat Perez and Tom Hoge are 3% each, Brandon Hagy is 2.9%, Joseph Bramlett, Ryan Moore, and Kramer Hickok are tied together at 2.7%, Nate Lashley is 2.4%, Vaughn Taylor and Denny McCarthy are 2.3%, Davis Riley, Austin Cook, and Jhonattan Vegas are 2.2%.
Golfers Under 2% Ownership:
Brian Gay is 1.9%, Rob Oppenheim and Kevin Chappell are 1.8%, Troy Merritt, Bronson Burgoon, and Chesson Hadley are tied at 1.6%, Chase Seiffert is 1.5%, Ryan Armour and JB Holmes are 1.4%, Ben Martin and CT Pan are 1.3%. Ted Potter Jr. is 1.1% owned. All other golfers at the time of this report are under 1% ownership including Josh Teater at .94%, and Tom Lewis at .93% owned.
AT&T Pebble Beach Final Ownership Projections Picks:
Top Tier: Cantlay
Mid Tier: Day, Zalatoris
Value Tier: Tringale, Mickelson
Low Tier: Andrew Putnam
Out in left field Play: Adam Schenk
Frisky risky biscuit play: Kelly Kraft*.
* Very Risky Play
There are quite a few golfers tied in ownership % at the mid range and bargain range, more than previous tourneys, the SIP program shows us that players are trying to land two top tier players and due to their lack of options, are picking at random for their remaining choices. All are desperately trying to stay out of the 6 K salary range, which is the weakest field this year. Last week, my out in left play, Lucas Glover, created value by being low priced and low owned, making the cut, and scoring enough points to bring the value.
Meanwhile, Sia’s Secret Weapon play, James Hahn, almost won the tourney, he led at the turn, and created humongous value. Sia’s record is now 28-3, with several of his picks contending late on Sunday here recently. I have used superlative descriptions of Sia’s picks, they are not just out of this world, they are out in deep space. He continues to bring us a golfer who gives us an opportunity to make money, in some cases, a lot of money.
Patrick “Sharps“ Scott is back this week and will be bringing expert picks and intel that is necessary to good team building. He is well known for his adoration of Collin Morikawa, so he shows up at the same time Morikawa disappears, coincidence? I think not, he is allegedly teaching his kids new meanings to words, such as restraining order, (a command from mom because the pasta looks watery), and also tells them his “old acquaintances“ have initials on their uniform that stand for FaceBook International. Home schooling is working well at the Scott residence.
I want to thank all of you for reviewing this article, we appreciate it. I will be in Discord after the report is published to help with questions on ownership, roster building and players and their metrics. Please take time to review the articles by Sia, Antonio, Patrick, Joel and myself, and don’t forget the live stream for Win Daily Sports golf, on Tuesday evenings at 830 PM EST, starring Michael Rasile as the tough and funny moderator, Sia, the mind behind the secret weapon, and Joel, who has hired an accountant to stand in his closet and count money from golf winnings.
As always, I hope to be with you on Sunday afternoon, in the money.
Sicilykid/ Steven