Allan Fabrykant UFC on ABC 5
EMMETT V TOPURIA
After a crazy Vegas Fight Night Card last week, we are headed to the Sunshine State for today’s action! Today’s card will kick off at 11:30 AM ET. Be sure to tune into ABC to catch all of today’s crazy action. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights that will end with a top 5 featherweight fight with a lot of title implications. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 11:30 AM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC on ABC 5 Emmett vs Topuria.
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Jack Jenkins vs Jamall Emmers
After a crazy KO with 30 seconds left in his DWCS appearance, Jenkins followed it up with a clean 15-minute fight against Don Shainis, which showed off Jenkins’ top-notch striking, wrestling and grappling. Jenkins did an excellent job at switching up his striking during his UFC debut. He mixed in kicks, body shots and headshots to the point that Shainis was clearly overwhelmed. Tonight, Jenkins has his biggest test yet against Jamall Emmers. Emmers has had a shaky road in the UFC, going 2-2 after what looked like a strong start with a questionable split decision loss against Giga Chikadze and a win on the regional scene against Cory Sandhagen. Unfortunately, for Emmers, his consistency issues at the top level make it hard for me to be that confident in him in this spot and with Jenkins coming in ready after a big win and as an underdog. Especially after Emmers had some struggles on the scales yesterday.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Jack Jenkins SECOND-ROUND KO (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION).
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Trevor Peek vs. Chepe Mariscal
Trevor Peek has that Alabama power. We saw this in his UFC debut against Erick Gonzalez. All Peek has to do is have on clean connection, and Mariscal will be wobbly. This is a very tough matchup for Mariscal in his UFC debut, and having seen what he has done in the regional scene, honestly, he is very inconsistent. Some nights Mariscal can lay people out, and others, it looks like he doesn’t even belong in the cage. That being said, he has picked up some weaker competition than Peek and has struggled, so I don’t have a lot of confidence in Mariscal in this spot. On top of that, with the odds where they are. I really like Peek as both a parlay piece and a Daily Fantasy play.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Trevor Peek FIRST ROUND KO.
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Randy Brown vs. Wellington Turman
This one seems like a bit of a mismatch. Randy Brown is a top 20 welterweight, and Turman usually fights at Middleweight. Despite the fact that it’s Turman making the cut, Brown still has the taller frame and the longer reach. I think Brown is a level above Turman when it comes to his natural skill. I will note that Turman is a BJJ black belt, and Randy is a Brown Belt but other than that, it seems as though Brown will have an advantage everywhere else. Turman is actually one of the UFC fighters who absorbs more strikes per minute than he lands, and Randy actually lands more strikes per minute (4.39 vs 2.92) and absorbs fewer strikes per minute when compared to Turman (3.30 vs 3.79). At this level, those numbers are a significant difference. The biggest red flag for Turman is that he almost lost to Sam Alvey… c’mon man. In all seriousness though, Turman hasn’t impressed me too much and against a fighter like Randy Brown, I think Turman will end up struggling a lot.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Randy Brown SECOND-ROUND KO.
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Josh Emmett 5 ROUNDER (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)
Amanda Ribas
Gillian Robertson
Sedriques Dumas FADE (Bad vs worse)
Joshua Van (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)
Mateusz Rębecki
Neil Magny
Bruno Silva
Gabriel Santos
Justin Tafa
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Trevor Peek to Finish (KO) -425
Randy Brown -120
(possible addition) Justin Tafa to Finish (KO) +105
