Al’s Fight Night Deep Dive for UFS Vegas 58

UFC Vegas 58

DOS ANJOS V FIZIEV

Welcome back everyone to Win Daily’s Fight Night Deep Dive! We saw a spectacular card last week where both champions retained their belts in convincing fashion, we also bore witness to a highlight reel knockout courtesy of Alex Pereira and he looks to set his sights towards a title shot against his former kickboxing foe Israel Adesanya. Today’s slate will start at 6:00 PM ET. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12-fights that will end with a legend’s possible last walk to the octagon against a fellow well-trained grappler. Looking forward to breaking this one down! Let’s get started!

SLATE STARTS AT 6:00 PM ET

Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights are usually be high as they are five-round fights. I may be branching away from the Main Event for some of my lines due to the low activity among these fighters. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!

Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 58 Dos Anjos vs Fiziev.

MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):

Aiemann Zahabi (+200) (DK 7400) (FD $11) vs. Ricky Turcious (-250) (DK 8800) (FD $19).

It was very difficult for me to pick a good underdog for this card because to be honest, the options are very few and far between but I am not a fan of Ricky’s fighting style. He leaves himself too open for strikes and is too accepting of grappling positions that are just unfavourable. We have relied on Aiemann before as an underdog in his matchup against Drako Rodriguez, where he nailed him with a clean (but borderline lucky) overhand right KO. As mentioned when he fought last year, he’s the younger brother of legendary TriStar coach, Firas Zahabi who was the primary trainer of the legend Georges St-Pierre. Zahabi will have a gameplan fully fleshed out for this matchup and I can safely assume that his training will be prime. As we saw in his last fight, Zahabi has power in his hand but his path to victory in this matchup will be his grappling. His grappling is very strong and if he can utilize it to its full potential, it will cause some serious problems for Turcios. Both of these fighters have a lot to prove but overall I am leaning towards Zahabi in this matchup.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Aiemann Zahabi (+200) (DK 7400) (FD $11). UNANIMOUS DECISION. (possible SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION)

MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):

Said Nurmagomedov (-334) (DK 9200) (FD $22) vs. Douglas Silva De Andrade (+250) (DK 7000) (FD $9).

When it comes to the world of grappling, few names are as impressive as Nurmagomedov. Said is no exception (Khabib’s cousin). He’s already notched two highlight reel finishes, including a performance of the night submission against Cody Stamman earlier this year which many believe can notch him a submission of the year award. Overall, I’ve been very impressed with Nurmagomedov’s fight IQ and of course his grappling skills. De Andrade has had some good moments in his UFC career but his is in a bit of a mismatch for this fight. Both have had similar opponents in the past with de Andrade boasting the stronger resume, but whenever he matched up against one of the divisions top talents such as Rob Font or Petr Yan, de Andrade just fell short, I expect something similar to happen to de Andrade in tonight’s matchup against rising star Said Nurmagomedov.

MY UFC DFS PICK: Said Nurmagomedov (-334) (DK 9200) (FD $22) FIRST ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION)

MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):

David Onama (-800) (DK 9300) (FD $22) vs. Garrett Armfield (+550) (DK 6900) (FD $8)

The wait is over, we finally have another David Onama fight. Earlier this year, Onama put out Moggly Benitez in the first round after a tough debut against Mason Jones in 2021. In his UFC debut, it was very clear that he was a special talent. Despite being a considerable underdog and ultimately losing the close matchup, Onama was working Jones and arguably had the better stand up, only for Jones to shoot for a desparate takedown when the tides began to turn which Onama struggled stopping. In this matchup however, Onama holds a clear skill advantage over newcomer Armfield in most if not all areas of MMA and Onama’s striking advantage when it comes to technique and power are significant. Onama also has a very impressive tank, especially considering his striking output and he should be able to face whatever Armfield throws his way. Onama is one for the future and Armfield was just given an unfair matchup for his UFC debut.

MY UFC DFS PICK: David Onama (-800) (DK 9300) (FD $22) FIRST-ROUND KO.

UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:

(Not in order)

Rafael Fiziev -220 (DK 9000) (FD $23) (5 ROUNDER)

Caio Borralho -275 (DK 8900) (FD $21)

Cynthia Calvillo (FADE) -150 (DK 8500) (FD $17)

Jared Vanderaa (FADE) -200 (DK 8600) (FD $20) (Bad vs Worse, wouldn’t be surprised if it went either way)

Jamie Mullarkey -250 (DK 9100) (FD $21)

Tresean Gore -160 (DK 8300) (FD $16)

Antonina Shevchenko (FADE) -175 (DK 8700) (FD $18) (Bad vs Worse, wouldn’t be surprised if it went either way)

Ronnie Lawrence -125 (DK 8400) (FD $17) (Really close matchup here, Kahkramanov is a solid DFS option)

Kennedy Nzechukwu -150 (DK 8200) (FD $16)

SUMMARY:

On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I will be building 3 UFC Parlays. I will be focusing on the three targets and my honorable mention fighters listed in my article to be a part of 99.9 percent of my lineups. Some fights in this slate are tricky to predict a winner and all fights are pretty close in skillset as UFC fighters are the elite of the elite. I usually employ a hedging technique on the fights that are closer in odds. I’m focusing on building a GPP winning lineup.

I’m building lineups that can variate from the field and taking bigger risks tonight. I will use my core fighters (Locked-In, Honorable Mention) to be a staple in my DFS lineups, and I will build around them using the available salary with the remainder of my predicted winners. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!

PARLAY OF THE DAY

MonkeyKnifeFight: Knockout Kings!

Below I have listed my top three plays for MKF’s Knockout Kings Contest!