Allan Fabrykant 
UFC Vegas 77
HOLM V BUENO SILVA
We had a lot of lines in the money after last week’s amazing card; let’s get a similar result with tonight’s action! Today’s card will kick off at 7:00 PM ET. Be sure to tune in to ESPN to catch all of today’s fights. Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 13 fights ending with what appears to be a title eliminator for the Women’s Bantamweight title, which was recently vacated by the now-retired legend Amanda Nunes. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 7:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 77 Holm vs Bueno Silva.
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Fransisco Prado vs Ottman Azaitar
For those who remember, back when the UFC was operating out of Fight Island, Azaitar snuck someone into the UFC locked-down area and was cut as a result. This also led to increased testing for Azaitar and a long time away from the octagon, which we will touch on later. Now onto today’s fight. As the odds suggest, this fight is close. Both fighters are coming off a loss after a solid run and are looking to use this fight as a bounce-back opportunity (Prado losing to Mullarkey via Decision and Azaitar suffering a First Round KO to Frevola). Because of that, I think we’re going to see a lot of aggressiveness and activity as they both want to get back on the right track.
With that being said, I can see heavy back-and-forth action between these two, which makes me believe that Prado will have an edge in this one. We have seen Prado compete in the later rounds, whereas Azaitar really hasn’t had his cardio tested in the octagon. Not to mention, Prado has a big advantage in age, reach and height. On top of that, as mentioned, Azaitar has had one fight in nearly three years (the previously mentioned KO) where his timing looked totally off, he was swinging more, and he was slower to react. Definitely, a lot to keep in mind as we head into this fight.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Fransisco Prado UNANIMOUS DECISION.
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Jack Della Maddelena vs. Bassil Hafez
After losing out on two fights last week due to opponents pulling out, Della Maddelena has been given another matchup in the co-main event of tonight’s card. Jack Della Maddelena is a promising young prospect who has burst onto the UFC scene with four straight first-round finishes. He’s an explosive talent who can finish people in stand-up and with his grappling. His opponent is making his UFC debut on short notice and could not have a tougher matchup for his first fight. Della Maddelena will make quick work of the UFC newcomer. Expect a first-round finish and the win streak to extend to 15 fights.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Jack Della Maddelena FIRST ROUND KO.
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Azat Maksum vs. Tyson Nam
In this matchup, we have one of the hottest flyweight prospects in all of Asia making his UFC debut against a fighter who has one foot out the door. With three wins and four losses in his UFC career, Nam has had a really shaky path in the Octagon. Tonight, he’s matched up against an insanely talented grappler in Azat Maksum.
The former Octagon League champion has crazy strength and elite wrestling. Throughout his UFC career, Nam has not shown that he excels in any particular facet of MMA. On top of that, he holds an abysmal strike differential with a Strikes Absorbed per Minute of 5.44 and a Strikes Landed per Minute of only 3.49. Nam has been able to avoid getting taken down in his career, but it also means that we have not seen Nam’s grappling defence. When a grappler as talented as Maksum is taking him down, he will be bringing Nam into a whole different world, one that I don’t think Nam will be ready to compete against, Maksum via Sub.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Azat Maksum SECOND-ROUND SUBMISSION.
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Holly Holm 5 ROUNDER
Albert Duraev (BIG UNDERDOG CALL)
Norma Dumont (For Parlays, I would avoid picking an outcome on this fight and just bet on it to go the distance -260)
Terrance McKinney (Sadykhov is a debuting fighter with a lot of talent. This fight is very close, and he definitely has a path to victory in this matchup, but I really like the odds on McKinney, who has been discounted and underrated throughout his career)
Melsik Bahdasaryan (Even coming off a loss, I really like Melsik in this spot, Lutz is not at the UFC level)
Viktoriya Dudakova
Malquizael Costa
Evan Elder
Alex Munoz
Ailin Perez (Great value taking Perez to win via Decision +145)
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Melquizael Costa -210
Jack Della Maddelena to Finish -375
Azat Maksum to Win via Submission or Decision (Double Chance) -110
