DeepDiveGolf - David Bieleski UFC Vegas 73
DERN V HILL
After a wild set of fights last week, we’re back in Vegas for a card thats jam packed with action! Today’s card will kick off at 4:00 PM ET. There are definitely some interesting fights in this one and there are a lot underdog matchups as well!! Read more below to find out my takes on tonight’s matchups! Tonight there will be 12 fights that will end with a womens strawweight fight between two fighters looking to make a splash into the top 5 of the division. Now, with all that out of the way, let’s get right into the action!
SLATE STARTS AT 4:00 PM ET
Exposure to the main event is recommended. DFS production in these fights is usually high as they are five-round fights. I do not recommend branching away from the Main Event, as these fighters are both usually active and can rack up a lot of points. There will be three top plays followed by honorable mentions. Now let’s get ready to make some money!
Tonight I’m here to give you my top three favorite DFS and Sports betting picks for UFC Vegas 73 Dern vs Hill.
MY UFC VALUE TARGET (CASH&GPP):
Andre Fialho vs Joaquin Buckley
Two hype trains that have been absolutely derailed. What’s interesting about this matchup is that both of these fighters got attention with flashy unexpected finishes, only to come crashing down with multiple losses. Both of these fighters have very similar styles, and they fight in a way where either one can knock the other out. I think for that reason this fight is a tossup and I really like getting underdog money on Fialho here. Also, as a prop but I also really like under 2.5 rounds in this match up.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Andre Fialho SECOND-ROUND KO.
MY UFC LOCKED-IN TARGET (CASH):
Anthony Hernandez vs. Edmen Shahbazyan
I gained a lot of respect for Hernandez’s ground game when he put away Vieira, an absolute killer on the mat. Shahbazyan had an interesting rise in the UFC as one of Ronda Rousey’s training partners and he had a good run at the start but with not a lot of fights and bad coaching he has now found himself in a position where he’s lost three of his last four UFC fights. Shahbazyan is in a tough spot here because not only has he failed to show improvements but he never lived up to his hype and that mental barrier has to have an effect on this fight. From everything I have seen in the grappling department from these two has shown me that Hernandez will have a clear advantage. The question for me is if he’ll be able to turn that advantage into a finish!
MY UFC DFS PICK: Anthony Hernandez SECOND ROUND SUBMISSION (possible UNANIMOUS DECISION).
MY UFC TOP SCORING TARGET (GPP):
Viacheslav Borshchev vs Maheshate
Both of these fighters have lost their last fight with Slava, losing his last two. In all of these losses, it was the same story, both these fighters haven’t been able to develop their ground game to a UFC level yet and it showed. Because of that I think we’re going to see a very much stand up match up and I think that will slightly benefit Borshchev. Like many fights on this card this fight is also a very close one but Borshchev is a very fast striker, puts a lot of power behind his shots and is very accurate. He only needs to find one or two clean shots to completely finish the fight. After a first round of testing the waters, I think he’ll get it done in the second.
MY UFC DFS PICK: Viacheslav Borshchev SECOND-ROUND KO (possible THIRD-ROUND KO).
UFC HONORABLE MENTIONS:
(Not in order)
Mackenzie Dern 5 ROUNDER
Orion Cosce (I have not seen anything inspiring out of Urbina and although Cosce is hard to trust and has let me down before. The odds suggest this is a coin flip and I think he has a solid advantage)
Lupita Godinez
Natalia Silva FADE (The value on this fight is terrible and its not worth the risk)
Themba Gorimbo
Nick Fiore (if Fiore and Hooper go to the ground, I would recommend alive, but on Hooper, but other than that Chase Hooper is very one dimensional and outside of Brazilian jujitsu. He is not a good fighter, which is why the UFC is giving him matchups that don’t put them at a big disadvantage)
Karolina Kowalkiewicz FADE (Stay away from this fight, way to difficult to predict and it will be a low output fight)
Michael Johnson (I like Johnson here but I think this photo is very close. I don’t think Ferreira’s a bad call, but I think Johnson should be a favourite in this one and getting him as an underdog is to go to ignore. not to mention Ferreira has lost his last three fights, including tapping to strikes in his last matchup.)
Rodrigo Nascimento
SUMMARY:
On Saturday’s fourteen-bout MMA UFC DFS slate, I am finally allowed to bet again on UFC as restrictions have now been lifted in my area. As such, I will play 2 Parlays. Remember, to take down a GPP; you have to be different and take risks. Scared money doesn’t make money in tournaments. For any further questions, I will be available until lock in our WinDaily Discord chat. GOOD LUCK, and don’t forget to come back and Win Daily!
PARLAY OF THE DAY
Lupita Godinez -160
Anthony Hernandez -210
Mackenzie Dern -175
